American Century Etf Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

VALQ Etf  USD 63.59  0.09  0.14%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of American Century STOXX on the next trading day is expected to be 63.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.86 and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.20. American Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for American Century STOXX is based on a synthetically constructed American Centurydaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

American Century 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 13th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of American Century STOXX on the next trading day is expected to be 63.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.86, mean absolute percentage error of 1.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.20.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict American Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that American Century's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

American Century Etf Forecast Pattern

Backtest American CenturyAmerican Century Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

American Century Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting American Century's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. American Century's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 63.08 and 64.32, respectively. We have considered American Century's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
63.59
63.70
Expected Value
64.32
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of American Century etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent American Century etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria83.2548
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.5515
MADMean absolute deviation0.8619
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0136
SAESum of the absolute errors36.201
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. American Century STOXX 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for American Century

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Century STOXX. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
62.9863.6164.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
63.0263.6564.28
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
63.3164.1564.99
Details

Other Forecasting Options for American Century

For every potential investor in American, whether a beginner or expert, American Century's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. American Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in American. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying American Century's price trends.

American Century Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with American Century etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of American Century could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing American Century by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

American Century STOXX Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of American Century's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of American Century's current price.

American Century Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how American Century etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading American Century shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying American Century etf market strength indicators, traders can identify American Century STOXX entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

American Century Risk Indicators

The analysis of American Century's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in American Century's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting american etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with American Century

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if American Century position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in American Century will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with American Etf

  0.96VTV Vanguard Value Index Potential GrowthPairCorr
  0.96VYM Vanguard High Dividend Sell-off TrendPairCorr
  0.97IWD iShares Russell 1000 Sell-off TrendPairCorr
  0.97DGRO iShares Core DividendPairCorr
  0.96IVE iShares SP 500PairCorr

Moving against American Etf

  0.8ULE ProShares Ultra EuroPairCorr
  0.71VIIX VIIXPairCorr
  0.63YCL ProShares Ultra YenPairCorr
  0.59FXY Invesco CurrencySharesPairCorr
  0.43PFFL ETRACS 2xMonthly PayPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to American Century could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace American Century when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back American Century - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling American Century STOXX to buy it.
The correlation of American Century is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as American Century moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if American Century STOXX moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for American Century can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether American Century STOXX is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if American Etf is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about American Century Stoxx Etf. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about American Century Stoxx Etf:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of American Century to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
The market value of American Century STOXX is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American Century's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American Century's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because American Century's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American Century's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between American Century's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Century is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Century's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.