VOXX International Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

VOX Stock  EUR 7.30  0.25  3.31%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of VOXX International on the next trading day is expected to be 6.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.10. VOXX Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of VOXX International's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for VOXX International is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of VOXX International value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

VOXX International Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of VOXX International on the next trading day is expected to be 6.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28, mean absolute percentage error of 0.12, and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.10.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict VOXX Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that VOXX International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

VOXX International Stock Forecast Pattern

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VOXX International Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting VOXX International's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. VOXX International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.48 and 11.10, respectively. We have considered VOXX International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
7.30
6.79
Expected Value
11.10
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of VOXX International stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent VOXX International stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.9854
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2803
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0425
SAESum of the absolute errors17.0986
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of VOXX International. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict VOXX International. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for VOXX International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VOXX International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.997.3011.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.626.9211.24
Details

Other Forecasting Options for VOXX International

For every potential investor in VOXX, whether a beginner or expert, VOXX International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. VOXX Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in VOXX. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying VOXX International's price trends.

VOXX International Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with VOXX International stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of VOXX International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing VOXX International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

VOXX International Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of VOXX International's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of VOXX International's current price.

VOXX International Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how VOXX International stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading VOXX International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying VOXX International stock market strength indicators, traders can identify VOXX International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

VOXX International Risk Indicators

The analysis of VOXX International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in VOXX International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting voxx stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in VOXX Stock

When determining whether VOXX International offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of VOXX International's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Voxx International Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Voxx International Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of VOXX International to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in VOXX Stock please use our How to Invest in VOXX International guide.
You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
Please note, there is a significant difference between VOXX International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if VOXX International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, VOXX International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.