Vulcan Minerals Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

VUL Stock  CAD 0.12  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Vulcan Minerals on the next trading day is expected to be 0.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.16. Vulcan Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Vulcan Minerals' Inventory Turnover is fairly stable compared to the past year. Receivables Turnover is likely to climb to 1.45 in 2024, whereas Payables Turnover is likely to drop 0.04 in 2024. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to climb to about 127.7 M in 2024, despite the fact that Net Loss is likely to grow to (2.4 M).
A two period moving average forecast for Vulcan Minerals is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Vulcan Minerals Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 25th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Vulcan Minerals on the next trading day is expected to be 0.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.16.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Vulcan Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Vulcan Minerals' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Vulcan Minerals Stock Forecast Pattern

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Vulcan Minerals Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Vulcan Minerals' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Vulcan Minerals' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 4.00, respectively. We have considered Vulcan Minerals' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.12
0.12
Expected Value
4.00
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Vulcan Minerals stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Vulcan Minerals stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria103.6107
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 3.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.0026
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0207
SAESum of the absolute errors0.155
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Vulcan Minerals price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Vulcan Minerals. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Vulcan Minerals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vulcan Minerals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.124.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.103.99
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Vulcan Minerals

For every potential investor in Vulcan, whether a beginner or expert, Vulcan Minerals' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Vulcan Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Vulcan. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Vulcan Minerals' price trends.

Vulcan Minerals Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Vulcan Minerals stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Vulcan Minerals could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vulcan Minerals by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Vulcan Minerals Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Vulcan Minerals' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Vulcan Minerals' current price.

Vulcan Minerals Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Vulcan Minerals stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Vulcan Minerals shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Vulcan Minerals stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Vulcan Minerals entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Vulcan Minerals Risk Indicators

The analysis of Vulcan Minerals' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Vulcan Minerals' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vulcan stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Vulcan Stock Analysis

When running Vulcan Minerals' price analysis, check to measure Vulcan Minerals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vulcan Minerals is operating at the current time. Most of Vulcan Minerals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vulcan Minerals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vulcan Minerals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vulcan Minerals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.