Westwood Holdings Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

WHG Stock  USD 15.68  0.03  0.19%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Westwood Holdings Group on the next trading day is expected to be 15.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.38 and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.66. Westwood Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Westwood Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At this time, Westwood Holdings' Receivables Turnover is most likely to slightly decrease in the upcoming years. The Westwood Holdings' current Asset Turnover is estimated to increase to 0.81, while Inventory Turnover is forecasted to increase to (2.86). . The current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to decrease to about 7.7 M. The Westwood Holdings' current Net Loss is estimated to increase to about (5.1 M).
A four-period moving average forecast model for Westwood Holdings Group is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Westwood Holdings 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 5th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Westwood Holdings Group on the next trading day is expected to be 15.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.38, mean absolute percentage error of 0.26, and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.66.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Westwood Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Westwood Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Westwood Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

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Westwood Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Westwood Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Westwood Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 12.64 and 18.62, respectively. We have considered Westwood Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
15.68
15.63
Expected Value
18.62
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Westwood Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Westwood Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria109.4246
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1356
MADMean absolute deviation0.38
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0253
SAESum of the absolute errors21.66
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Westwood Holdings. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Westwood Holdings Group and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Westwood Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Westwood Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.7315.7218.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.1215.1118.10
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
15.4115.7316.04
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Westwood Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Westwood Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Westwood Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Westwood Holdings.

Other Forecasting Options for Westwood Holdings

For every potential investor in Westwood, whether a beginner or expert, Westwood Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Westwood Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Westwood. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Westwood Holdings' price trends.

Westwood Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Westwood Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Westwood Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Westwood Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Westwood Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Westwood Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Westwood Holdings' current price.

Westwood Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Westwood Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Westwood Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Westwood Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Westwood Holdings Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Westwood Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of Westwood Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Westwood Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting westwood stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Westwood Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze Westwood Holdings' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Westwood Holdings' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Westwood Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Westwood Holdings to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Westwood Holdings. If investors know Westwood will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Westwood Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.98)
Dividend Share
0.6
Earnings Share
0.33
Revenue Per Share
11.393
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.084
The market value of Westwood Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Westwood that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Westwood Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Westwood Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Westwood Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Westwood Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Westwood Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Westwood Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Westwood Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.