Wilh Wilhelmsen Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

WML2 Stock  EUR 31.60  0.50  1.61%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Wilh Wilhelmsen Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 29.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.30 and the sum of the absolute errors of 79.48. Wilh Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Wilh Wilhelmsen's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Wilh Wilhelmsen polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Wilh Wilhelmsen Holding as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Wilh Wilhelmsen Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Wilh Wilhelmsen Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 29.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.30, mean absolute percentage error of 2.97, and the sum of the absolute errors of 79.48.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Wilh Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Wilh Wilhelmsen's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Wilh Wilhelmsen Stock Forecast Pattern

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Wilh Wilhelmsen Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Wilh Wilhelmsen's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Wilh Wilhelmsen's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24.87 and 33.22, respectively. We have considered Wilh Wilhelmsen's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
31.60
29.05
Expected Value
33.22
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Wilh Wilhelmsen stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Wilh Wilhelmsen stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.1974
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.303
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0462
SAESum of the absolute errors79.4831
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Wilh Wilhelmsen historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Wilh Wilhelmsen

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wilh Wilhelmsen Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.4231.6035.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
28.4435.8039.98
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Wilh Wilhelmsen. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Wilh Wilhelmsen's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Wilh Wilhelmsen's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Wilh Wilhelmsen Holding.

Other Forecasting Options for Wilh Wilhelmsen

For every potential investor in Wilh, whether a beginner or expert, Wilh Wilhelmsen's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Wilh Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Wilh. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Wilh Wilhelmsen's price trends.

Wilh Wilhelmsen Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Wilh Wilhelmsen stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Wilh Wilhelmsen could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Wilh Wilhelmsen by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Wilh Wilhelmsen Holding Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Wilh Wilhelmsen's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Wilh Wilhelmsen's current price.

Wilh Wilhelmsen Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Wilh Wilhelmsen stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Wilh Wilhelmsen shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Wilh Wilhelmsen stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Wilh Wilhelmsen Holding entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Wilh Wilhelmsen Risk Indicators

The analysis of Wilh Wilhelmsen's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Wilh Wilhelmsen's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting wilh stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Wilh Stock

Wilh Wilhelmsen financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wilh Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wilh with respect to the benefits of owning Wilh Wilhelmsen security.