WOODSIDE ENE Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

WOP Stock  EUR 14.00  0.50  3.70%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of WOODSIDE ENE SPADR on the next trading day is expected to be 13.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.32 and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.04. WOODSIDE Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of WOODSIDE ENE's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for WOODSIDE ENE - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When WOODSIDE ENE prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in WOODSIDE ENE price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of WOODSIDE ENE SPADR.

WOODSIDE ENE Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 14th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of WOODSIDE ENE SPADR on the next trading day is expected to be 13.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.32, mean absolute percentage error of 0.21, and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.04.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict WOODSIDE Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that WOODSIDE ENE's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

WOODSIDE ENE Stock Forecast Pattern

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WOODSIDE ENE Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting WOODSIDE ENE's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. WOODSIDE ENE's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.81 and 17.09, respectively. We have considered WOODSIDE ENE's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
14.00
13.95
Expected Value
17.09
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of WOODSIDE ENE stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent WOODSIDE ENE stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0669
MADMean absolute deviation0.3173
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0214
SAESum of the absolute errors19.0396
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past WOODSIDE ENE observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older WOODSIDE ENE SPADR observations.

Predictive Modules for WOODSIDE ENE

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as WOODSIDE ENE SPADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.8614.0017.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.1212.2615.40
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
13.6014.5515.50
Details

Other Forecasting Options for WOODSIDE ENE

For every potential investor in WOODSIDE, whether a beginner or expert, WOODSIDE ENE's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. WOODSIDE Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in WOODSIDE. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying WOODSIDE ENE's price trends.

WOODSIDE ENE Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with WOODSIDE ENE stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of WOODSIDE ENE could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing WOODSIDE ENE by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

WOODSIDE ENE SPADR Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of WOODSIDE ENE's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of WOODSIDE ENE's current price.

WOODSIDE ENE Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how WOODSIDE ENE stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading WOODSIDE ENE shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying WOODSIDE ENE stock market strength indicators, traders can identify WOODSIDE ENE SPADR entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

WOODSIDE ENE Risk Indicators

The analysis of WOODSIDE ENE's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in WOODSIDE ENE's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting woodside stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in WOODSIDE Stock

WOODSIDE ENE financial ratios help investors to determine whether WOODSIDE Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in WOODSIDE with respect to the benefits of owning WOODSIDE ENE security.