ON SEMICONDUCTOR Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| XS4 Stock | 66.45 0.42 0.63% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of ON SEMICONDUCTOR on the next trading day is expected to be 68.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 74.33. XS4 Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
XS4 |
ON SEMICONDUCTOR Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of ON SEMICONDUCTOR on the next trading day is expected to be 68.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.22, mean absolute percentage error of 2.21, and the sum of the absolute errors of 74.33.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict XS4 Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ON SEMICONDUCTOR's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
ON SEMICONDUCTOR Stock Forecast Pattern
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ON SEMICONDUCTOR Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting ON SEMICONDUCTOR's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ON SEMICONDUCTOR's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 66.42 and 71.20, respectively. We have considered ON SEMICONDUCTOR's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ON SEMICONDUCTOR stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ON SEMICONDUCTOR stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.9029 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.2185 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0189 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 74.3307 |
Predictive Modules for ON SEMICONDUCTOR
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ON SEMICONDUCTOR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ON SEMICONDUCTOR's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for ON SEMICONDUCTOR
For every potential investor in XS4, whether a beginner or expert, ON SEMICONDUCTOR's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. XS4 Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in XS4. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ON SEMICONDUCTOR's price trends.ON SEMICONDUCTOR Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ON SEMICONDUCTOR stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ON SEMICONDUCTOR could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ON SEMICONDUCTOR by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
ON SEMICONDUCTOR Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of ON SEMICONDUCTOR's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of ON SEMICONDUCTOR's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
ON SEMICONDUCTOR Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ON SEMICONDUCTOR stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ON SEMICONDUCTOR shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ON SEMICONDUCTOR stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ON SEMICONDUCTOR entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | (9,223,372,036,855) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 66.45 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 66.45 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.21) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.42) |
ON SEMICONDUCTOR Risk Indicators
The analysis of ON SEMICONDUCTOR's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ON SEMICONDUCTOR's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting xs4 stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.8 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.4 | |||
| Variance | 5.77 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Additional Tools for XS4 Stock Analysis
When running ON SEMICONDUCTOR's price analysis, check to measure ON SEMICONDUCTOR's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ON SEMICONDUCTOR is operating at the current time. Most of ON SEMICONDUCTOR's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ON SEMICONDUCTOR's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ON SEMICONDUCTOR's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ON SEMICONDUCTOR to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.