Yellow Pages Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

YMI Stock  EUR 7.65  0.30  4.08%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Yellow Pages Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 7.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.43. Yellow Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Yellow Pages' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Yellow Pages is based on an artificially constructed time series of Yellow Pages daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Yellow Pages 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 5th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Yellow Pages Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 7.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.43.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Yellow Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Yellow Pages' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Yellow Pages Stock Forecast Pattern

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Yellow Pages Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Yellow Pages' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Yellow Pages' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 5.82 and 9.01, respectively. We have considered Yellow Pages' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
7.65
7.42
Expected Value
9.01
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Yellow Pages stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Yellow Pages stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria100.0818
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1199
MADMean absolute deviation0.1403
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0206
SAESum of the absolute errors7.435
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Yellow Pages Limited 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Yellow Pages

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Yellow Pages Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.067.659.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.958.5410.13
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Yellow Pages

For every potential investor in Yellow, whether a beginner or expert, Yellow Pages' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Yellow Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Yellow. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Yellow Pages' price trends.

Yellow Pages Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Yellow Pages stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Yellow Pages could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Yellow Pages by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Yellow Pages Limited Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Yellow Pages' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Yellow Pages' current price.

Yellow Pages Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Yellow Pages stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Yellow Pages shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Yellow Pages stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Yellow Pages Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Yellow Pages Risk Indicators

The analysis of Yellow Pages' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Yellow Pages' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting yellow stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Yellow Stock

Yellow Pages financial ratios help investors to determine whether Yellow Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Yellow with respect to the benefits of owning Yellow Pages security.