Yoshiharu Global Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

YOSH Stock  USD 3.23  0.14  4.15%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Yoshiharu Global Co on the next trading day is expected to be 3.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.36 and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.67. Yoshiharu Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Yoshiharu Global's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
The Yoshiharu Global's current Inventory Turnover is estimated to increase to 195.66. The Yoshiharu Global's current Payables Turnover is estimated to increase to 14.21. The current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to decrease to about 1.1 M. The Yoshiharu Global's current Net Loss is estimated to increase to about (1.4 M).

Yoshiharu Global Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Yoshiharu Global's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
1.8 M
Current Value
1.8 M
Quarterly Volatility
1.8 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Yoshiharu Global is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Yoshiharu Global Co value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Yoshiharu Global Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 5th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Yoshiharu Global Co on the next trading day is expected to be 3.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.36, mean absolute percentage error of 0.19, and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.67.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Yoshiharu Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Yoshiharu Global's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Yoshiharu Global Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Yoshiharu GlobalYoshiharu Global Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Yoshiharu Global Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Yoshiharu Global's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Yoshiharu Global's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 11.06, respectively. We have considered Yoshiharu Global's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3.23
3.53
Expected Value
11.06
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Yoshiharu Global stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Yoshiharu Global stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.4495
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3552
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0733
SAESum of the absolute errors21.6651
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Yoshiharu Global Co. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Yoshiharu Global. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Yoshiharu Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Yoshiharu Global. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Yoshiharu Global's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.173.3510.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.163.2410.85
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Yoshiharu Global

For every potential investor in Yoshiharu, whether a beginner or expert, Yoshiharu Global's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Yoshiharu Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Yoshiharu. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Yoshiharu Global's price trends.

View Yoshiharu Global Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

Yoshiharu Global Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Yoshiharu Global's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Yoshiharu Global's current price.

Yoshiharu Global Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Yoshiharu Global stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Yoshiharu Global shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Yoshiharu Global stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Yoshiharu Global Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Yoshiharu Global Risk Indicators

The analysis of Yoshiharu Global's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Yoshiharu Global's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting yoshiharu stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Yoshiharu Global offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Yoshiharu Global's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Yoshiharu Global Co Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Yoshiharu Global Co Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Yoshiharu Global to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Yoshiharu Global. If investors know Yoshiharu will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Yoshiharu Global listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(2.39)
Revenue Per Share
7.68
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.505
Return On Assets
(0.13)
Return On Equity
(1.36)
The market value of Yoshiharu Global is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Yoshiharu that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Yoshiharu Global's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Yoshiharu Global's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Yoshiharu Global's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Yoshiharu Global's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Yoshiharu Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Yoshiharu Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Yoshiharu Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.