Yuan Longping (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.05
| 000998 Stock | 11.19 0.23 2.01% |
Yuan |
Yuan Longping Target Price Odds to finish below 3.05
The tendency of Yuan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 3.05 or more in 90 days |
| 11.19 | 90 days | 3.05 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Yuan Longping to drop to 3.05 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Yuan Longping High tech probability density function shows the probability of Yuan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Yuan Longping High price to stay between 3.05 and its current price of 11.19 at the end of the 90-day period is about 74.03 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Yuan Longping High tech has a beta of -0.18. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Yuan Longping are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Yuan Longping High tech is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Yuan Longping High tech has an alpha of 0.2704, implying that it can generate a 0.27 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Yuan Longping Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Yuan Longping
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Yuan Longping High. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Yuan Longping Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Yuan Longping is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Yuan Longping's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Yuan Longping High tech, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Yuan Longping within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.27 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.79 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Yuan Longping Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Yuan Longping for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Yuan Longping High can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 31.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Huang Xian Yue Net Worth - GuruFocus.com |
Yuan Longping Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Yuan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Yuan Longping's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Yuan Longping's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.3 B |
Yuan Longping Technical Analysis
Yuan Longping's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Yuan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Yuan Longping High tech. In general, you should focus on analyzing Yuan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Yuan Longping Predictive Forecast Models
Yuan Longping's time-series forecasting models is one of many Yuan Longping's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Yuan Longping's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Yuan Longping High
Checking the ongoing alerts about Yuan Longping for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Yuan Longping High help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 31.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Huang Xian Yue Net Worth - GuruFocus.com |
Other Information on Investing in Yuan Stock
Yuan Longping financial ratios help investors to determine whether Yuan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Yuan with respect to the benefits of owning Yuan Longping security.