Qiming Information (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 13.74
| 002232 Stock | 19.82 1.50 7.04% |
Qiming |
Qiming Information Target Price Odds to finish below 13.74
The tendency of Qiming Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 13.74 or more in 90 days |
| 19.82 | 90 days | 13.74 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Qiming Information to drop to 13.74 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Qiming Information Technology probability density function shows the probability of Qiming Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Qiming Information price to stay between 13.74 and its current price of 19.82 at the end of the 90-day period is about 28.52 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Qiming Information has a beta of 0.36. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Qiming Information average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Qiming Information Technology will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Qiming Information Technology has an alpha of 0.5964, implying that it can generate a 0.6 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Qiming Information Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Qiming Information
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Qiming Information. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Qiming Information Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Qiming Information is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Qiming Information's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Qiming Information Technology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Qiming Information within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.60 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.36 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
Qiming Information Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Qiming Information for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Qiming Information can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Qiming Information had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Qiming Information has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 57.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Qiming Information Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Qiming Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Qiming Information's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Qiming Information's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 408.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 865.3 M |
Qiming Information Technical Analysis
Qiming Information's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Qiming Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Qiming Information Technology. In general, you should focus on analyzing Qiming Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Qiming Information Predictive Forecast Models
Qiming Information's time-series forecasting models is one of many Qiming Information's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Qiming Information's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Qiming Information
Checking the ongoing alerts about Qiming Information for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Qiming Information help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Qiming Information had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Qiming Information has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 57.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Qiming Stock
Qiming Information financial ratios help investors to determine whether Qiming Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Qiming with respect to the benefits of owning Qiming Information security.