Yantai Jereh (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 35.90

002353 Stock   35.90  0.90  2.57%   
Yantai Jereh's future price is the expected price of Yantai Jereh instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Yantai Jereh Oilfield performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Yantai Jereh Backtesting, Yantai Jereh Valuation, Yantai Jereh Correlation, Yantai Jereh Hype Analysis, Yantai Jereh Volatility, Yantai Jereh History as well as Yantai Jereh Performance.
  
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Yantai Jereh Target Price Odds to finish over 35.90

The tendency of Yantai Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 35.90 90 days 35.90 
about 26.78
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Yantai Jereh to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 26.78 (This Yantai Jereh Oilfield probability density function shows the probability of Yantai Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Yantai Jereh Oilfield has a beta of -0.12. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Yantai Jereh are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Yantai Jereh Oilfield is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Yantai Jereh Oilfield has an alpha of 0.3981, implying that it can generate a 0.4 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Yantai Jereh Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Yantai Jereh

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Yantai Jereh Oilfield. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
33.2335.9038.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.9429.6139.49
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.650.650.65
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Yantai Jereh. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Yantai Jereh's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Yantai Jereh's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Yantai Jereh Oilfield.

Yantai Jereh Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Yantai Jereh is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Yantai Jereh's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Yantai Jereh Oilfield, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Yantai Jereh within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.40
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.12
σ
Overall volatility
2.55
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Yantai Jereh Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Yantai Jereh for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Yantai Jereh Oilfield can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Yantai Jereh is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 44.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Yantai Jereh Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Yantai Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Yantai Jereh's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Yantai Jereh's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingB

Yantai Jereh Technical Analysis

Yantai Jereh's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Yantai Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Yantai Jereh Oilfield. In general, you should focus on analyzing Yantai Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Yantai Jereh Predictive Forecast Models

Yantai Jereh's time-series forecasting models is one of many Yantai Jereh's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Yantai Jereh's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Yantai Jereh Oilfield

Checking the ongoing alerts about Yantai Jereh for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Yantai Jereh Oilfield help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Yantai Jereh is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 44.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Yantai Stock

Yantai Jereh financial ratios help investors to determine whether Yantai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Yantai with respect to the benefits of owning Yantai Jereh security.