Shenzhen Glory (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.11

002551 Stock   3.11  0.01  0.32%   
Shenzhen Glory's future price is the expected price of Shenzhen Glory instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Shenzhen Glory Medical performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Shenzhen Glory Backtesting, Shenzhen Glory Valuation, Shenzhen Glory Correlation, Shenzhen Glory Hype Analysis, Shenzhen Glory Volatility, Shenzhen Glory History as well as Shenzhen Glory Performance.
  
Please specify Shenzhen Glory's target price for which you would like Shenzhen Glory odds to be computed.

Shenzhen Glory Target Price Odds to finish below 3.11

The tendency of Shenzhen Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 3.11 90 days 3.11 
about 35.39
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Shenzhen Glory to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 35.39 (This Shenzhen Glory Medical probability density function shows the probability of Shenzhen Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Shenzhen Glory Medical has a beta of -0.21. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Shenzhen Glory are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Shenzhen Glory Medical is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Shenzhen Glory Medical has an alpha of 0.3617, implying that it can generate a 0.36 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Shenzhen Glory Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Shenzhen Glory

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shenzhen Glory Medical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.163.116.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.132.706.07
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.070.070.07
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Shenzhen Glory. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Shenzhen Glory's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Shenzhen Glory's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Shenzhen Glory Medical.

Shenzhen Glory Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Shenzhen Glory is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Shenzhen Glory's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Shenzhen Glory Medical, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Shenzhen Glory within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.36
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.21
σ
Overall volatility
0.35
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Shenzhen Glory Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Shenzhen Glory for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Shenzhen Glory Medical can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Shenzhen Glory had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 1.19 B. Net Loss for the year was (148.89 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 221.88 M.
About 41.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: GLORY HEALTH has noticeably dropped 14.035. The last price is HK0.098 - AASTOCKS.com

Shenzhen Glory Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Shenzhen Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Shenzhen Glory's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shenzhen Glory's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding844.8 M
Dividends Paid58.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments818.2 M

Shenzhen Glory Technical Analysis

Shenzhen Glory's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Shenzhen Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Shenzhen Glory Medical. In general, you should focus on analyzing Shenzhen Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Shenzhen Glory Predictive Forecast Models

Shenzhen Glory's time-series forecasting models is one of many Shenzhen Glory's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Shenzhen Glory's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Shenzhen Glory Medical

Checking the ongoing alerts about Shenzhen Glory for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Shenzhen Glory Medical help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Shenzhen Glory had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 1.19 B. Net Loss for the year was (148.89 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 221.88 M.
About 41.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: GLORY HEALTH has noticeably dropped 14.035. The last price is HK0.098 - AASTOCKS.com

Other Information on Investing in Shenzhen Stock

Shenzhen Glory financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shenzhen Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shenzhen with respect to the benefits of owning Shenzhen Glory security.