Sinomine Resource (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 35.71

002738 Stock   36.56  0.67  1.87%   
Sinomine Resource's future price is the expected price of Sinomine Resource instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sinomine Resource Exploration performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sinomine Resource Backtesting, Sinomine Resource Valuation, Sinomine Resource Correlation, Sinomine Resource Hype Analysis, Sinomine Resource Volatility, Sinomine Resource History as well as Sinomine Resource Performance.
  
Please specify Sinomine Resource's target price for which you would like Sinomine Resource odds to be computed.

Sinomine Resource Target Price Odds to finish over 35.71

The tendency of Sinomine Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  35.71  in 90 days
 36.56 90 days 35.71 
about 45.27
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sinomine Resource to stay above  35.71  in 90 days from now is about 45.27 (This Sinomine Resource Exploration probability density function shows the probability of Sinomine Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sinomine Resource price to stay between  35.71  and its current price of 36.56 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.52 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sinomine Resource Exploration has a beta of -0.0359. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Sinomine Resource are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Sinomine Resource Exploration is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Sinomine Resource Exploration has an alpha of 0.3427, implying that it can generate a 0.34 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Sinomine Resource Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sinomine Resource

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sinomine Resource. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
33.2636.9740.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.2429.9540.22
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.691.861.97
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sinomine Resource. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sinomine Resource's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sinomine Resource's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Sinomine Resource.

Sinomine Resource Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sinomine Resource is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sinomine Resource's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sinomine Resource Exploration, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sinomine Resource within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.34
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.04
σ
Overall volatility
3.45
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Sinomine Resource Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sinomine Resource for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sinomine Resource can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sinomine Resource had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Sinomine Resource is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 23.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Sinomine Resource Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sinomine Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sinomine Resource's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sinomine Resource's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding728.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments5.5 B

Sinomine Resource Technical Analysis

Sinomine Resource's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sinomine Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sinomine Resource Exploration. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sinomine Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sinomine Resource Predictive Forecast Models

Sinomine Resource's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sinomine Resource's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sinomine Resource's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sinomine Resource

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sinomine Resource for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sinomine Resource help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sinomine Resource had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Sinomine Resource is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 23.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Sinomine Stock

Sinomine Resource financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sinomine Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sinomine with respect to the benefits of owning Sinomine Resource security.