Fine Semitech (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 16171.25

036810 Stock  KRW 16,200  130.00  0.80%   
Fine Semitech's future price is the expected price of Fine Semitech instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fine Semitech Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Fine Semitech Backtesting, Fine Semitech Valuation, Fine Semitech Correlation, Fine Semitech Hype Analysis, Fine Semitech Volatility, Fine Semitech History as well as Fine Semitech Performance.
  
Please specify Fine Semitech's target price for which you would like Fine Semitech odds to be computed.

Fine Semitech Target Price Odds to finish below 16171.25

The tendency of Fine Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to W 16,171  or more in 90 days
 16,200 90 days 16,171 
about 19.11
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fine Semitech to drop to W 16,171  or more in 90 days from now is about 19.11 (This Fine Semitech Corp probability density function shows the probability of Fine Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fine Semitech Corp price to stay between W 16,171  and its current price of W16200.0 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Fine Semitech Corp has a beta of -0.18. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Fine Semitech are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Fine Semitech Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Fine Semitech Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Fine Semitech Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fine Semitech

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fine Semitech Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16,19716,20016,203
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14,51614,51917,820
Details

Fine Semitech Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fine Semitech is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fine Semitech's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fine Semitech Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fine Semitech within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.44
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.18
σ
Overall volatility
2,325
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Fine Semitech Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fine Semitech for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fine Semitech Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fine Semitech Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Fine Semitech Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 31.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Fine Semitech Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fine Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fine Semitech's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fine Semitech's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding19.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments44.4 B

Fine Semitech Technical Analysis

Fine Semitech's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fine Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fine Semitech Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fine Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fine Semitech Predictive Forecast Models

Fine Semitech's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fine Semitech's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fine Semitech's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Fine Semitech Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fine Semitech for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fine Semitech Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fine Semitech Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Fine Semitech Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 31.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Fine Stock

Fine Semitech financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fine Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fine with respect to the benefits of owning Fine Semitech security.