HLB Power (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 469.16

043220 Stock  KRW 368.00  18.00  5.14%   
HLB Power's future price is the expected price of HLB Power instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of HLB Power Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out HLB Power Backtesting, HLB Power Valuation, HLB Power Correlation, HLB Power Hype Analysis, HLB Power Volatility, HLB Power History as well as HLB Power Performance.
  
Please specify HLB Power's target price for which you would like HLB Power odds to be computed.

HLB Power Target Price Odds to finish below 469.16

The tendency of HLB Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under W 469.16  after 90 days
 368.00 90 days 469.16 
about 32.31
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of HLB Power to stay under W 469.16  after 90 days from now is about 32.31 (This HLB Power Co probability density function shows the probability of HLB Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of HLB Power price to stay between its current price of W 368.00  and W 469.16  at the end of the 90-day period is about 27.45 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon HLB Power has a beta of 0.62. This suggests as returns on the market go up, HLB Power average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding HLB Power Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally HLB Power Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   HLB Power Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for HLB Power

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HLB Power. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
362.72368.00373.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
348.00353.28404.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
420.03425.31430.59
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
351.51395.50439.49
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as HLB Power. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against HLB Power's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, HLB Power's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in HLB Power.

HLB Power Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. HLB Power is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the HLB Power's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold HLB Power Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of HLB Power within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.5
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.62
σ
Overall volatility
84.75
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

HLB Power Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of HLB Power for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for HLB Power can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
HLB Power generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
HLB Power has high historical volatility and very poor performance
HLB Power has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
HLB Power Co has accumulated 7.47 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 200.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. HLB Power has a current ratio of 0.88, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist HLB Power until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, HLB Power's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like HLB Power sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for HLB to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about HLB Power's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 18.54 B. Net Loss for the year was (9.33 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 10.28 B.
HLB Power Co has accumulated about 37.81 B in cash with (6.33 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 223.09.

HLB Power Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of HLB Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential HLB Power's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. HLB Power's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding91.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments43.4 B

HLB Power Technical Analysis

HLB Power's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. HLB Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of HLB Power Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing HLB Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

HLB Power Predictive Forecast Models

HLB Power's time-series forecasting models is one of many HLB Power's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary HLB Power's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about HLB Power

Checking the ongoing alerts about HLB Power for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for HLB Power help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
HLB Power generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
HLB Power has high historical volatility and very poor performance
HLB Power has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
HLB Power Co has accumulated 7.47 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 200.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. HLB Power has a current ratio of 0.88, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist HLB Power until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, HLB Power's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like HLB Power sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for HLB to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about HLB Power's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 18.54 B. Net Loss for the year was (9.33 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 10.28 B.
HLB Power Co has accumulated about 37.81 B in cash with (6.33 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 223.09.

Other Information on Investing in HLB Stock

HLB Power financial ratios help investors to determine whether HLB Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in HLB with respect to the benefits of owning HLB Power security.