TES Co (Korea) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 20241.42

095610 Stock  KRW 15,330  670.00  4.19%   
TES Co's future price is the expected price of TES Co instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of TES Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out TES Co Backtesting, TES Co Valuation, TES Co Correlation, TES Co Hype Analysis, TES Co Volatility, TES Co History as well as TES Co Performance.
  
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TES Co Target Price Odds to finish below 20241.42

The tendency of TES Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under W 20,241  after 90 days
 15,330 90 days 20,241 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TES Co to stay under W 20,241  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This TES Co probability density function shows the probability of TES Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of TES Co price to stay between its current price of W 15,330  and W 20,241  at the end of the 90-day period is about 66.68 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon TES Co has a beta of -0.32. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding TES Co are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, TES Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally TES Co has an alpha of 0.0322, implying that it can generate a 0.0322 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   TES Co Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for TES Co

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TES Co. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15,99716,00016,003
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13,19613,19817,600
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17,11817,12017,123
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13,16714,66016,152
Details

TES Co Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TES Co is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TES Co's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TES Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TES Co within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.32
σ
Overall volatility
1,200
Ir
Information ratio 0

TES Co Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TES Co for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TES Co can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TES Co generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 29.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

TES Co Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of TES Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential TES Co's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TES Co's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding18.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments130.1 B

TES Co Technical Analysis

TES Co's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TES Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TES Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing TES Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

TES Co Predictive Forecast Models

TES Co's time-series forecasting models is one of many TES Co's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary TES Co's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about TES Co

Checking the ongoing alerts about TES Co for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TES Co help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TES Co generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 29.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in TES Stock

TES Co financial ratios help investors to determine whether TES Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TES with respect to the benefits of owning TES Co security.