Gruppo MutuiOnline (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 34.04
| 0O2B Stock | 39.60 1.55 4.07% |
Gruppo |
Gruppo MutuiOnline Target Price Odds to finish over 34.04
The tendency of Gruppo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 34.04 in 90 days |
| 39.60 | 90 days | 34.04 | about 73.4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gruppo MutuiOnline to stay above 34.04 in 90 days from now is about 73.4 (This Gruppo MutuiOnline SpA probability density function shows the probability of Gruppo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gruppo MutuiOnline SpA price to stay between 34.04 and its current price of 39.6 at the end of the 90-day period is about 71.84 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Gruppo MutuiOnline has a beta of 0.0773. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Gruppo MutuiOnline average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Gruppo MutuiOnline SpA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Gruppo MutuiOnline SpA has an alpha of 0.3682, implying that it can generate a 0.37 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Gruppo MutuiOnline Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Gruppo MutuiOnline
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gruppo MutuiOnline SpA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Gruppo MutuiOnline Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gruppo MutuiOnline is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gruppo MutuiOnline's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gruppo MutuiOnline SpA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gruppo MutuiOnline within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.37 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.00 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Gruppo MutuiOnline Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gruppo MutuiOnline for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gruppo MutuiOnline SpA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Gruppo MutuiOnline appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 38.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Gruppo MutuiOnline Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gruppo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gruppo MutuiOnline's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gruppo MutuiOnline's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 38.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 150.1 M |
Gruppo MutuiOnline Technical Analysis
Gruppo MutuiOnline's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gruppo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gruppo MutuiOnline SpA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gruppo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Gruppo MutuiOnline Predictive Forecast Models
Gruppo MutuiOnline's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gruppo MutuiOnline's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gruppo MutuiOnline's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Gruppo MutuiOnline SpA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Gruppo MutuiOnline for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gruppo MutuiOnline SpA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Gruppo MutuiOnline appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 38.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Gruppo Stock Analysis
When running Gruppo MutuiOnline's price analysis, check to measure Gruppo MutuiOnline's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gruppo MutuiOnline is operating at the current time. Most of Gruppo MutuiOnline's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gruppo MutuiOnline's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gruppo MutuiOnline's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gruppo MutuiOnline to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.