Taewoong Logistics (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3355.0

124560 Stock  KRW 2,880  10.00  0.35%   
Taewoong Logistics' future price is the expected price of Taewoong Logistics instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Taewoong Logistics CoLtd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Taewoong Logistics Backtesting, Taewoong Logistics Valuation, Taewoong Logistics Correlation, Taewoong Logistics Hype Analysis, Taewoong Logistics Volatility, Taewoong Logistics History as well as Taewoong Logistics Performance.
  
Please specify Taewoong Logistics' target price for which you would like Taewoong Logistics odds to be computed.

Taewoong Logistics Target Price Odds to finish below 3355.0

The tendency of Taewoong Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under W 3,355  after 90 days
 2,880 90 days 3,355 
about 99.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Taewoong Logistics to stay under W 3,355  after 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Taewoong Logistics CoLtd probability density function shows the probability of Taewoong Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Taewoong Logistics CoLtd price to stay between its current price of W 2,880  and W 3,355  at the end of the 90-day period is about 71.07 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Taewoong Logistics CoLtd has a beta of -0.42. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Taewoong Logistics are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Taewoong Logistics CoLtd is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Taewoong Logistics CoLtd has an alpha of 0.0114, implying that it can generate a 0.0114 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Taewoong Logistics Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Taewoong Logistics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Taewoong Logistics CoLtd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,8862,8902,894
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,5422,5453,179
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3,0883,0913,095
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2,7262,9263,127
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Taewoong Logistics. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Taewoong Logistics' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Taewoong Logistics' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Taewoong Logistics CoLtd.

Taewoong Logistics Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Taewoong Logistics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Taewoong Logistics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Taewoong Logistics CoLtd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Taewoong Logistics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.42
σ
Overall volatility
170.95
Ir
Information ratio -0.0058

Taewoong Logistics Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Taewoong Logistics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Taewoong Logistics CoLtd can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Taewoong Logistics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Taewoong Logistics has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Taewoong Logistics CoLtd has accumulated about 30.58 B in cash with (7.03 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 492.06.
Roughly 42.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Taewoong Logistics Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Taewoong Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Taewoong Logistics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Taewoong Logistics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding37.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments30.7 B

Taewoong Logistics Technical Analysis

Taewoong Logistics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Taewoong Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Taewoong Logistics CoLtd. In general, you should focus on analyzing Taewoong Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Taewoong Logistics Predictive Forecast Models

Taewoong Logistics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Taewoong Logistics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Taewoong Logistics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Taewoong Logistics CoLtd

Checking the ongoing alerts about Taewoong Logistics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Taewoong Logistics CoLtd help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Taewoong Logistics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Taewoong Logistics has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Taewoong Logistics CoLtd has accumulated about 30.58 B in cash with (7.03 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 492.06.
Roughly 42.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Taewoong Stock

Taewoong Logistics financial ratios help investors to determine whether Taewoong Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Taewoong with respect to the benefits of owning Taewoong Logistics security.