BNK Financial (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 12,242

138930 Stock   10,950  120.00  1.11%   
BNK Financial's future price is the expected price of BNK Financial instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of BNK Financial Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out BNK Financial Backtesting, BNK Financial Valuation, BNK Financial Correlation, BNK Financial Hype Analysis, BNK Financial Volatility, BNK Financial History as well as BNK Financial Performance.
  
Please specify BNK Financial's target price for which you would like BNK Financial odds to be computed.

BNK Financial Target Price Odds to finish below 12,242

The tendency of BNK Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 10,950 90 days 10,950 
about 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BNK Financial to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This BNK Financial Group probability density function shows the probability of BNK Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BNK Financial has a beta of 0.0834. This suggests as returns on the market go up, BNK Financial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BNK Financial Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally BNK Financial Group has an alpha of 0.1279, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   BNK Financial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for BNK Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BNK Financial Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10,94810,95010,952
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8,9778,98012,045
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10,99610,99811,001
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9,65210,75411,855
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as BNK Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against BNK Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, BNK Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in BNK Financial Group.

BNK Financial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BNK Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BNK Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BNK Financial Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BNK Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.08
σ
Overall volatility
618.73
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

BNK Financial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BNK Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BNK Financial Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BNK Financial generates negative cash flow from operations
About 15.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

BNK Financial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BNK Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BNK Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BNK Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding324.4 M

BNK Financial Technical Analysis

BNK Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BNK Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BNK Financial Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing BNK Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

BNK Financial Predictive Forecast Models

BNK Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many BNK Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BNK Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about BNK Financial Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about BNK Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BNK Financial Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BNK Financial generates negative cash flow from operations
About 15.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in BNK Stock

BNK Financial financial ratios help investors to determine whether BNK Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BNK with respect to the benefits of owning BNK Financial security.