CCL Industries (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 50.67
| 1C9 Stock | EUR 49.80 1.20 2.47% |
CCL |
CCL Industries Target Price Odds to finish below 50.67
The tendency of CCL Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 50.67 after 90 days |
| 49.80 | 90 days | 50.67 | about 10.96 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CCL Industries to stay under € 50.67 after 90 days from now is about 10.96 (This CCL Industries probability density function shows the probability of CCL Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CCL Industries price to stay between its current price of € 49.80 and € 50.67 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.13 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon CCL Industries has a beta of 0.46. This suggests as returns on the market go up, CCL Industries average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CCL Industries will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CCL Industries has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. CCL Industries Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CCL Industries
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CCL Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CCL Industries Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CCL Industries is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CCL Industries' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CCL Industries, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CCL Industries within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.46 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.64 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
CCL Industries Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CCL Industries for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CCL Industries can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| CCL Industries generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| CCL Industries has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 12.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
CCL Industries Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CCL Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CCL Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CCL Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 176.9 M |
CCL Industries Technical Analysis
CCL Industries' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CCL Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CCL Industries. In general, you should focus on analyzing CCL Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CCL Industries Predictive Forecast Models
CCL Industries' time-series forecasting models is one of many CCL Industries' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CCL Industries' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CCL Industries
Checking the ongoing alerts about CCL Industries for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CCL Industries help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| CCL Industries generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| CCL Industries has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 12.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in CCL Stock
CCL Industries financial ratios help investors to determine whether CCL Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CCL with respect to the benefits of owning CCL Industries security.