Anheuser-Busch InBev (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 49.65
| 1NBA Stock | EUR 48.04 0.23 0.48% |
Anheuser-Busch |
Anheuser-Busch InBev Target Price Odds to finish over 49.65
The tendency of Anheuser-Busch Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 49.65 or more in 90 days |
| 48.04 | 90 days | 49.65 | about 91.59 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Anheuser-Busch InBev to move over € 49.65 or more in 90 days from now is about 91.59 (This Anheuser Busch InBev SANV probability density function shows the probability of Anheuser-Busch Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Anheuser Busch InBev price to stay between its current price of € 48.04 and € 49.65 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.71 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Anheuser-Busch InBev has a beta of 0.18. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Anheuser-Busch InBev average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Anheuser Busch InBev SANV will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Anheuser Busch InBev SANV has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Anheuser-Busch InBev Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Anheuser-Busch InBev
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Anheuser Busch InBev. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Anheuser-Busch InBev Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Anheuser-Busch InBev is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Anheuser-Busch InBev's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Anheuser Busch InBev SANV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Anheuser-Busch InBev within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.26 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.94 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.21 |
Anheuser-Busch InBev Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Anheuser-Busch InBev for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Anheuser Busch InBev can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Anheuser Busch InBev generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Anheuser Busch InBev SANV has accumulated 85.54 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.14, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Anheuser Busch InBev has a current ratio of 0.64, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Anheuser-Busch InBev until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Anheuser-Busch InBev's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Anheuser Busch InBev sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Anheuser-Busch to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Anheuser-Busch InBev's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 49.0% of Anheuser-Busch InBev shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Anheuser-Busch InBev Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Anheuser-Busch Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Anheuser-Busch InBev's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Anheuser-Busch InBev's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.7 B |
Anheuser-Busch InBev Technical Analysis
Anheuser-Busch InBev's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Anheuser-Busch Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Anheuser Busch InBev SANV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Anheuser-Busch Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Anheuser-Busch InBev Predictive Forecast Models
Anheuser-Busch InBev's time-series forecasting models is one of many Anheuser-Busch InBev's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Anheuser-Busch InBev's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Anheuser Busch InBev
Checking the ongoing alerts about Anheuser-Busch InBev for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Anheuser Busch InBev help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Anheuser Busch InBev generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Anheuser Busch InBev SANV has accumulated 85.54 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.14, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Anheuser Busch InBev has a current ratio of 0.64, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Anheuser-Busch InBev until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Anheuser-Busch InBev's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Anheuser Busch InBev sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Anheuser-Busch to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Anheuser-Busch InBev's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 49.0% of Anheuser-Busch InBev shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Anheuser-Busch Stock
Anheuser-Busch InBev financial ratios help investors to determine whether Anheuser-Busch Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Anheuser-Busch with respect to the benefits of owning Anheuser-Busch InBev security.