BCWORLD PHARM (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4,922

200780 Stock  KRW 4,800  10.00  0.21%   
BCWORLD PHARM's future price is the expected price of BCWORLD PHARM instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of BCWORLD PHARM Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out BCWORLD PHARM Backtesting, BCWORLD PHARM Valuation, BCWORLD PHARM Correlation, BCWORLD PHARM Hype Analysis, BCWORLD PHARM Volatility, BCWORLD PHARM History as well as BCWORLD PHARM Performance.
  
Please specify BCWORLD PHARM's target price for which you would like BCWORLD PHARM odds to be computed.

BCWORLD PHARM Target Price Odds to finish over 4,922

The tendency of BCWORLD Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 4,800 90 days 4,800 
about 42.53
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BCWORLD PHARM to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 42.53 (This BCWORLD PHARM Co probability density function shows the probability of BCWORLD Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BCWORLD PHARM Co has a beta of -0.0524. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding BCWORLD PHARM are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, BCWORLD PHARM Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally BCWORLD PHARM Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   BCWORLD PHARM Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for BCWORLD PHARM

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BCWORLD PHARM. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4,7984,8004,802
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3,8603,8635,280
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5,2995,3015,303
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3,7704,3814,992
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as BCWORLD PHARM. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against BCWORLD PHARM's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, BCWORLD PHARM's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in BCWORLD PHARM.

BCWORLD PHARM Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BCWORLD PHARM is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BCWORLD PHARM's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BCWORLD PHARM Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BCWORLD PHARM within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.05
σ
Overall volatility
319.33
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

BCWORLD PHARM Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BCWORLD PHARM for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BCWORLD PHARM can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BCWORLD PHARM generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
BCWORLD PHARM Co has accumulated about 2.75 B in cash with (5.08 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 39.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

BCWORLD PHARM Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BCWORLD Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BCWORLD PHARM's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BCWORLD PHARM's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding8.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments4.5 B

BCWORLD PHARM Technical Analysis

BCWORLD PHARM's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BCWORLD Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BCWORLD PHARM Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing BCWORLD Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

BCWORLD PHARM Predictive Forecast Models

BCWORLD PHARM's time-series forecasting models is one of many BCWORLD PHARM's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BCWORLD PHARM's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about BCWORLD PHARM

Checking the ongoing alerts about BCWORLD PHARM for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BCWORLD PHARM help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BCWORLD PHARM generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
BCWORLD PHARM Co has accumulated about 2.75 B in cash with (5.08 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 39.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in BCWORLD Stock

BCWORLD PHARM financial ratios help investors to determine whether BCWORLD Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BCWORLD with respect to the benefits of owning BCWORLD PHARM security.