Fortune Brands (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 68.27
| 2FB Stock | EUR 66.50 0.00 0.00% |
Fortune |
Fortune Brands Target Price Odds to finish below 68.27
The tendency of Fortune Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 68.27 after 90 days |
| 66.50 | 90 days | 68.27 | under 4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fortune Brands to stay under € 68.27 after 90 days from now is under 4 (This Fortune Brands Home probability density function shows the probability of Fortune Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fortune Brands Home price to stay between its current price of € 66.50 and € 68.27 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.34 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Fortune Brands Home has a beta of -0.0583. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Fortune Brands are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Fortune Brands Home is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Fortune Brands Home has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Fortune Brands Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Fortune Brands
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fortune Brands Home. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Fortune Brands Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fortune Brands is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fortune Brands' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fortune Brands Home, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fortune Brands within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Fortune Brands Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fortune Brands for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fortune Brands Home can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Fortune Brands Home generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Fortune Brands Home has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Over 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Fortune Brands Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fortune Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fortune Brands' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fortune Brands' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 128 M |
Fortune Brands Technical Analysis
Fortune Brands' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fortune Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fortune Brands Home. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fortune Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Fortune Brands Predictive Forecast Models
Fortune Brands' time-series forecasting models is one of many Fortune Brands' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fortune Brands' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Fortune Brands Home
Checking the ongoing alerts about Fortune Brands for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fortune Brands Home help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Fortune Brands Home generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Fortune Brands Home has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Over 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Other Information on Investing in Fortune Stock
Fortune Brands financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fortune Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fortune with respect to the benefits of owning Fortune Brands security.