BCEG Environmental (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 13.3

300958 Stock   13.41  0.40  2.90%   
BCEG Environmental's future price is the expected price of BCEG Environmental instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of BCEG Environmental Remediation performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out BCEG Environmental Backtesting, BCEG Environmental Valuation, BCEG Environmental Correlation, BCEG Environmental Hype Analysis, BCEG Environmental Volatility, BCEG Environmental History as well as BCEG Environmental Performance.
  
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BCEG Environmental Target Price Odds to finish below 13.3

The tendency of BCEG Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  13.30  or more in 90 days
 13.41 90 days 13.30 
about 82.23
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BCEG Environmental to drop to  13.30  or more in 90 days from now is about 82.23 (This BCEG Environmental Remediation probability density function shows the probability of BCEG Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BCEG Environmental price to stay between  13.30  and its current price of 13.41 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.19 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BCEG Environmental has a beta of 0.022. This suggests as returns on the market go up, BCEG Environmental average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BCEG Environmental Remediation will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally BCEG Environmental Remediation has an alpha of 0.4444, implying that it can generate a 0.44 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   BCEG Environmental Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for BCEG Environmental

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BCEG Environmental. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.2813.7017.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.2112.6316.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.8813.2916.71
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.2113.0213.82
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as BCEG Environmental. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against BCEG Environmental's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, BCEG Environmental's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in BCEG Environmental.

BCEG Environmental Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BCEG Environmental is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BCEG Environmental's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BCEG Environmental Remediation, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BCEG Environmental within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.44
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
1.25
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

BCEG Environmental Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BCEG Environmental for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BCEG Environmental can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BCEG Environmental appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
BCEG Environmental generates negative cash flow from operations
About 52.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

BCEG Environmental Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BCEG Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BCEG Environmental's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BCEG Environmental's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding156.7 M

BCEG Environmental Technical Analysis

BCEG Environmental's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BCEG Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BCEG Environmental Remediation. In general, you should focus on analyzing BCEG Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

BCEG Environmental Predictive Forecast Models

BCEG Environmental's time-series forecasting models is one of many BCEG Environmental's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BCEG Environmental's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about BCEG Environmental

Checking the ongoing alerts about BCEG Environmental for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BCEG Environmental help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BCEG Environmental appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
BCEG Environmental generates negative cash flow from operations
About 52.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in BCEG Stock

BCEG Environmental financial ratios help investors to determine whether BCEG Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BCEG with respect to the benefits of owning BCEG Environmental security.