Wankai New (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 11.03

301216 Stock   10.73  0.03  0.28%   
Wankai New's future price is the expected price of Wankai New instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Wankai New Materials performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Wankai New Backtesting, Wankai New Valuation, Wankai New Correlation, Wankai New Hype Analysis, Wankai New Volatility, Wankai New History as well as Wankai New Performance.
  
Please specify Wankai New's target price for which you would like Wankai New odds to be computed.

Wankai New Target Price Odds to finish over 11.03

The tendency of Wankai Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  11.03  or more in 90 days
 10.73 90 days 11.03 
about 40.96
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wankai New to move over  11.03  or more in 90 days from now is about 40.96 (This Wankai New Materials probability density function shows the probability of Wankai Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wankai New Materials price to stay between its current price of  10.73  and  11.03  at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.96 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Wankai New Materials has a beta of -0.048. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Wankai New are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Wankai New Materials is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Wankai New Materials has an alpha of 0.2243, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Wankai New Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Wankai New

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wankai New Materials. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.6510.7113.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.039.0912.15
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Wankai New Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wankai New is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wankai New's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wankai New Materials, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wankai New within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.05
σ
Overall volatility
0.70
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Wankai New Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wankai New for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wankai New Materials can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wankai New Materials had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Wankai New generates negative cash flow from operations
About 55.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: TJK Intelligent Equipment Manufacturing Co., Ltd.s Price Is Out Of Tune With Earnings - Simply Wall St

Wankai New Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Wankai Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Wankai New's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wankai New's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding515.1 M

Wankai New Technical Analysis

Wankai New's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wankai Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wankai New Materials. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wankai Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Wankai New Predictive Forecast Models

Wankai New's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wankai New's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wankai New's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Wankai New Materials

Checking the ongoing alerts about Wankai New for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wankai New Materials help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wankai New Materials had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Wankai New generates negative cash flow from operations
About 55.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: TJK Intelligent Equipment Manufacturing Co., Ltd.s Price Is Out Of Tune With Earnings - Simply Wall St

Other Information on Investing in Wankai Stock

Wankai New financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wankai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wankai with respect to the benefits of owning Wankai New security.