Fujian Nanwang (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 12.66

301355 Stock   12.55  0.11  0.87%   
Fujian Nanwang's future price is the expected price of Fujian Nanwang instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fujian Nanwang Environment performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Fujian Nanwang Backtesting, Fujian Nanwang Valuation, Fujian Nanwang Correlation, Fujian Nanwang Hype Analysis, Fujian Nanwang Volatility, Fujian Nanwang History as well as Fujian Nanwang Performance.
  
Please specify Fujian Nanwang's target price for which you would like Fujian Nanwang odds to be computed.

Fujian Nanwang Target Price Odds to finish below 12.66

The tendency of Fujian Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  12.66  after 90 days
 12.55 90 days 12.66 
about 84.78
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fujian Nanwang to stay under  12.66  after 90 days from now is about 84.78 (This Fujian Nanwang Environment probability density function shows the probability of Fujian Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fujian Nanwang Envir price to stay between its current price of  12.55  and  12.66  at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.88 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Fujian Nanwang has a beta of 0.37. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Fujian Nanwang average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Fujian Nanwang Environment will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Fujian Nanwang Environment has an alpha of 0.4271, implying that it can generate a 0.43 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Fujian Nanwang Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fujian Nanwang

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fujian Nanwang Envir. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.0512.7815.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.4314.1616.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.6812.4115.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.5212.7915.06
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Fujian Nanwang. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Fujian Nanwang's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Fujian Nanwang's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Fujian Nanwang Envir.

Fujian Nanwang Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fujian Nanwang is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fujian Nanwang's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fujian Nanwang Environment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fujian Nanwang within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.43
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.37
σ
Overall volatility
0.95
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

Fujian Nanwang Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fujian Nanwang for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fujian Nanwang Envir can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Fujian Nanwang Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fujian Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fujian Nanwang's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fujian Nanwang's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividend Yield0.0271
Forward Annual Dividend Rate0.35
Shares Float90.1 M

Fujian Nanwang Technical Analysis

Fujian Nanwang's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fujian Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fujian Nanwang Environment. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fujian Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fujian Nanwang Predictive Forecast Models

Fujian Nanwang's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fujian Nanwang's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fujian Nanwang's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Fujian Nanwang Envir

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fujian Nanwang for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fujian Nanwang Envir help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Fujian Stock

Fujian Nanwang financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fujian Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fujian with respect to the benefits of owning Fujian Nanwang security.