Edimax Technology (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 32.50
| 3047 Stock | TWD 32.50 0.45 1.37% |
Edimax |
Edimax Technology Target Price Odds to finish over 32.50
The tendency of Edimax Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 32.50 | 90 days | 32.50 | under 95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Edimax Technology to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 95 (This Edimax Technology Co probability density function shows the probability of Edimax Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Edimax Technology Co has a beta of -0.0621. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Edimax Technology are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Edimax Technology Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Edimax Technology Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Edimax Technology Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Edimax Technology
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Edimax Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Edimax Technology Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Edimax Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Edimax Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Edimax Technology Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Edimax Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.34 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.67 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
Edimax Technology Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Edimax Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Edimax Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Edimax Technology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Edimax Technology has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the revenue of 5.25 B. Net Loss for the year was (55.03 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.18 B. | |
| Edimax Technology Co has accumulated about 1.23 B in cash with (772 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.69. | |
| Roughly 17.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Edimax Technology Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Edimax Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Edimax Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Edimax Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 187.6 M |
Edimax Technology Technical Analysis
Edimax Technology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Edimax Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Edimax Technology Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Edimax Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Edimax Technology Predictive Forecast Models
Edimax Technology's time-series forecasting models is one of many Edimax Technology's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Edimax Technology's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Edimax Technology
Checking the ongoing alerts about Edimax Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Edimax Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Edimax Technology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Edimax Technology has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the revenue of 5.25 B. Net Loss for the year was (55.03 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.18 B. | |
| Edimax Technology Co has accumulated about 1.23 B in cash with (772 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.69. | |
| Roughly 17.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Edimax Stock Analysis
When running Edimax Technology's price analysis, check to measure Edimax Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Edimax Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Edimax Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Edimax Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Edimax Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Edimax Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.