STL Technology (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 57.00

4931 Stock   57.00  0.70  1.24%   
STL Technology's future price is the expected price of STL Technology instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of STL Technology Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out STL Technology Backtesting, STL Technology Valuation, STL Technology Correlation, STL Technology Hype Analysis, STL Technology Volatility, STL Technology History as well as STL Technology Performance.
  
Please specify STL Technology's target price for which you would like STL Technology odds to be computed.

STL Technology Target Price Odds to finish over 57.00

The tendency of STL Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 57.00 90 days 57.00 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of STL Technology to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This STL Technology Co probability density function shows the probability of STL Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon STL Technology has a beta of 0.56. This suggests as returns on the market go up, STL Technology average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding STL Technology Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally STL Technology Co has an alpha of 0.7414, implying that it can generate a 0.74 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   STL Technology Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for STL Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as STL Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
53.3457.0060.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
56.2859.9463.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
55.9059.5663.21
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
36.3548.5060.64
Details

STL Technology Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. STL Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the STL Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold STL Technology Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of STL Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.74
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.56
σ
Overall volatility
5.97
Ir
Information ratio 0.19

STL Technology Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of STL Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for STL Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
STL Technology appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 1.49 B. Net Loss for the year was (39.67 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 154.1 M.
STL Technology generates negative cash flow from operations
About 37.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

STL Technology Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of STL Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential STL Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. STL Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding63.6 M

STL Technology Technical Analysis

STL Technology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. STL Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of STL Technology Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing STL Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

STL Technology Predictive Forecast Models

STL Technology's time-series forecasting models is one of many STL Technology's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary STL Technology's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about STL Technology

Checking the ongoing alerts about STL Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for STL Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
STL Technology appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 1.49 B. Net Loss for the year was (39.67 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 154.1 M.
STL Technology generates negative cash flow from operations
About 37.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Additional Tools for STL Stock Analysis

When running STL Technology's price analysis, check to measure STL Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy STL Technology is operating at the current time. Most of STL Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of STL Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move STL Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of STL Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.