Uni President (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.86
| 58U Stock | EUR 0.86 0.01 1.18% |
Uni |
Uni President Target Price Odds to finish below 0.86
The tendency of Uni Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 0.86 | 90 days | 0.86 | about 92.35 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Uni President to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 92.35 (This Uni President China Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Uni Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Uni President has a beta of 0.43. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Uni President average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Uni President China Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Uni President China Holdings has an alpha of 0.4528, implying that it can generate a 0.45 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Uni President Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Uni President
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Uni President China. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Uni President Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Uni President is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Uni President's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Uni President China Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Uni President within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.45 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.43 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Uni President Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Uni President for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Uni President China can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Uni President China had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Uni President China has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Uni President China Holdings has accumulated 220.27 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 15.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Uni President China has a current ratio of 0.93, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Uni President until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Uni President's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Uni President China sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Uni to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Uni President's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 72.0% of Uni President shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Uni President Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Uni Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Uni President's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Uni President's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.3 B |
Uni President Technical Analysis
Uni President's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Uni Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Uni President China Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Uni Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Uni President Predictive Forecast Models
Uni President's time-series forecasting models is one of many Uni President's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Uni President's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Uni President China
Checking the ongoing alerts about Uni President for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Uni President China help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Uni President China had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Uni President China has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Uni President China Holdings has accumulated 220.27 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 15.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Uni President China has a current ratio of 0.93, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Uni President until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Uni President's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Uni President China sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Uni to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Uni President's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 72.0% of Uni President shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Uni Stock
Uni President financial ratios help investors to determine whether Uni Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Uni with respect to the benefits of owning Uni President security.