Qilu Bank (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.72
| 601665 Stock | 5.21 0.05 0.97% |
Qilu |
Qilu Bank Target Price Odds to finish below 2.72
The tendency of Qilu Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 2.72 or more in 90 days |
| 5.21 | 90 days | 2.72 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Qilu Bank to drop to 2.72 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Qilu Bank Co probability density function shows the probability of Qilu Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Qilu Bank price to stay between 2.72 and its current price of 5.21 at the end of the 90-day period is about 63.58 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Qilu Bank Co has a beta of -0.12. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Qilu Bank are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Qilu Bank Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Qilu Bank Co has an alpha of 0.173, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Qilu Bank Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Qilu Bank
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Qilu Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Qilu Bank Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Qilu Bank is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Qilu Bank's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Qilu Bank Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Qilu Bank within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.46 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Qilu Bank Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Qilu Bank for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Qilu Bank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 44.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Qilu Bank Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Qilu Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Qilu Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Qilu Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.7 B |
Qilu Bank Technical Analysis
Qilu Bank's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Qilu Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Qilu Bank Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Qilu Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Qilu Bank Predictive Forecast Models
Qilu Bank's time-series forecasting models is one of many Qilu Bank's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Qilu Bank's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Qilu Bank
Checking the ongoing alerts about Qilu Bank for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Qilu Bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 44.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Qilu Stock
Qilu Bank financial ratios help investors to determine whether Qilu Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Qilu with respect to the benefits of owning Qilu Bank security.