Zhangjiagang Elegant (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9.95
| 603221 Stock | 9.39 0.76 7.49% |
Zhangjiagang |
Zhangjiagang Elegant Target Price Odds to finish below 9.95
The tendency of Zhangjiagang Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 9.95 after 90 days |
| 9.39 | 90 days | 9.95 | about 67.5 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Zhangjiagang Elegant to stay under 9.95 after 90 days from now is about 67.5 (This Zhangjiagang Elegant Home probability density function shows the probability of Zhangjiagang Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Zhangjiagang Elegant Home price to stay between its current price of 9.39 and 9.95 at the end of the 90-day period is about 30.19 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Zhangjiagang Elegant has a beta of 0.0891. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Zhangjiagang Elegant average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Zhangjiagang Elegant Home will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Zhangjiagang Elegant Home has an alpha of 0.3225, implying that it can generate a 0.32 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Zhangjiagang Elegant Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Zhangjiagang Elegant
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zhangjiagang Elegant Home. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Zhangjiagang Elegant Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Zhangjiagang Elegant is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Zhangjiagang Elegant's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Zhangjiagang Elegant Home, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Zhangjiagang Elegant within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.32 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.72 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.1 |
Zhangjiagang Elegant Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Zhangjiagang Elegant for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Zhangjiagang Elegant Home can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Zhangjiagang Elegant had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Zhangjiagang Elegant is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years |
Zhangjiagang Elegant Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Zhangjiagang Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Zhangjiagang Elegant's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Zhangjiagang Elegant's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 240 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 6.3 M |
Zhangjiagang Elegant Technical Analysis
Zhangjiagang Elegant's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Zhangjiagang Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Zhangjiagang Elegant Home. In general, you should focus on analyzing Zhangjiagang Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Zhangjiagang Elegant Predictive Forecast Models
Zhangjiagang Elegant's time-series forecasting models is one of many Zhangjiagang Elegant's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Zhangjiagang Elegant's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Zhangjiagang Elegant Home
Checking the ongoing alerts about Zhangjiagang Elegant for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Zhangjiagang Elegant Home help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Zhangjiagang Elegant had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Zhangjiagang Elegant is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years |
Other Information on Investing in Zhangjiagang Stock
Zhangjiagang Elegant financial ratios help investors to determine whether Zhangjiagang Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Zhangjiagang with respect to the benefits of owning Zhangjiagang Elegant security.