Zhongfu Shenying (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 20.56

688295 Stock   20.56  0.43  2.05%   
Zhongfu Shenying's future price is the expected price of Zhongfu Shenying instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Zhongfu Shenying Carbon performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Zhongfu Shenying Backtesting, Zhongfu Shenying Valuation, Zhongfu Shenying Correlation, Zhongfu Shenying Hype Analysis, Zhongfu Shenying Volatility, Zhongfu Shenying History as well as Zhongfu Shenying Performance.
  
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Zhongfu Shenying Target Price Odds to finish over 20.56

The tendency of Zhongfu Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 20.56 90 days 20.56 
about 42.3
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Zhongfu Shenying to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 42.3 (This Zhongfu Shenying Carbon probability density function shows the probability of Zhongfu Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Zhongfu Shenying Carbon has a beta of -0.15. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Zhongfu Shenying are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Zhongfu Shenying Carbon is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Zhongfu Shenying Carbon has an alpha of 0.4117, implying that it can generate a 0.41 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Zhongfu Shenying Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Zhongfu Shenying

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zhongfu Shenying Carbon. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.3520.4724.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.2717.3921.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.3620.4824.60
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.100.120.26
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Zhongfu Shenying. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Zhongfu Shenying's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Zhongfu Shenying's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Zhongfu Shenying Carbon.

Zhongfu Shenying Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Zhongfu Shenying is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Zhongfu Shenying's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Zhongfu Shenying Carbon, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Zhongfu Shenying within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.41
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.15
σ
Overall volatility
2.47
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Zhongfu Shenying Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Zhongfu Shenying for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Zhongfu Shenying Carbon can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Zhongfu Shenying had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 90.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Zhongfu Shenying Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Zhongfu Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Zhongfu Shenying's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Zhongfu Shenying's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding900 M

Zhongfu Shenying Technical Analysis

Zhongfu Shenying's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Zhongfu Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Zhongfu Shenying Carbon. In general, you should focus on analyzing Zhongfu Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Zhongfu Shenying Predictive Forecast Models

Zhongfu Shenying's time-series forecasting models is one of many Zhongfu Shenying's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Zhongfu Shenying's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Zhongfu Shenying Carbon

Checking the ongoing alerts about Zhongfu Shenying for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Zhongfu Shenying Carbon help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Zhongfu Shenying had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 90.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Zhongfu Stock

Zhongfu Shenying financial ratios help investors to determine whether Zhongfu Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Zhongfu with respect to the benefits of owning Zhongfu Shenying security.