BECLE SAB (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.14

6BE Stock  EUR 1.14  0.01  0.87%   
BECLE SAB's future price is the expected price of BECLE SAB instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of BECLE SAB DE performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out BECLE SAB Backtesting, BECLE SAB Valuation, BECLE SAB Correlation, BECLE SAB Hype Analysis, BECLE SAB Volatility, BECLE SAB History as well as BECLE SAB Performance.
  
Please specify BECLE SAB's target price for which you would like BECLE SAB odds to be computed.

BECLE SAB Target Price Odds to finish below 1.14

The tendency of BECLE Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 1.14 90 days 1.14 
about 13.68
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BECLE SAB to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 13.68 (This BECLE SAB DE probability density function shows the probability of BECLE Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon BECLE SAB DE has a beta of -0.12. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding BECLE SAB are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, BECLE SAB DE is likely to outperform the market. Additionally BECLE SAB DE has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   BECLE SAB Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for BECLE SAB

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BECLE SAB DE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.144.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.051.024.34
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.021.134.44
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.931.151.37
Details

BECLE SAB Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BECLE SAB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BECLE SAB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BECLE SAB DE, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BECLE SAB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.27
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.12
σ
Overall volatility
0.11
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

BECLE SAB Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BECLE SAB for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BECLE SAB DE can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BECLE SAB DE generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
BECLE SAB DE may become a speculative penny stock
BECLE SAB DE has high historical volatility and very poor performance
BECLE SAB DE has accumulated about 738.24 M in cash with (15.16 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.21.

BECLE SAB Technical Analysis

BECLE SAB's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BECLE Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BECLE SAB DE. In general, you should focus on analyzing BECLE Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

BECLE SAB Predictive Forecast Models

BECLE SAB's time-series forecasting models is one of many BECLE SAB's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BECLE SAB's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about BECLE SAB DE

Checking the ongoing alerts about BECLE SAB for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BECLE SAB DE help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BECLE SAB DE generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
BECLE SAB DE may become a speculative penny stock
BECLE SAB DE has high historical volatility and very poor performance
BECLE SAB DE has accumulated about 738.24 M in cash with (15.16 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.21.

Other Information on Investing in BECLE Stock

BECLE SAB financial ratios help investors to determine whether BECLE Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BECLE with respect to the benefits of owning BECLE SAB security.