DETALION GAMES (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.22
| 9XJ Stock | 0.18 0.01 5.88% |
DETALION |
DETALION GAMES Target Price Odds to finish below 0.22
The tendency of DETALION Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 0.22 after 90 days |
| 0.18 | 90 days | 0.22 | about 62.08 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of DETALION GAMES to stay under 0.22 after 90 days from now is about 62.08 (This DETALION GAMES SA probability density function shows the probability of DETALION Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of DETALION GAMES SA price to stay between its current price of 0.18 and 0.22 at the end of the 90-day period is about 44.61 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon DETALION GAMES SA has a beta of -0.19. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding DETALION GAMES are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, DETALION GAMES SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally DETALION GAMES SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. DETALION GAMES Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for DETALION GAMES
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DETALION GAMES SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.DETALION GAMES Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. DETALION GAMES is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the DETALION GAMES's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold DETALION GAMES SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of DETALION GAMES within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.49 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
DETALION GAMES Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of DETALION GAMES for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for DETALION GAMES SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| DETALION GAMES SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| DETALION GAMES SA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| DETALION GAMES SA has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| DETALION GAMES SA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 33.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
DETALION GAMES Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of DETALION Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential DETALION GAMES's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. DETALION GAMES's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Shares Float | 1.3 M |
DETALION GAMES Technical Analysis
DETALION GAMES's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. DETALION Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of DETALION GAMES SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing DETALION Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
DETALION GAMES Predictive Forecast Models
DETALION GAMES's time-series forecasting models is one of many DETALION GAMES's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary DETALION GAMES's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about DETALION GAMES SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about DETALION GAMES for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for DETALION GAMES SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| DETALION GAMES SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| DETALION GAMES SA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| DETALION GAMES SA has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| DETALION GAMES SA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 33.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in DETALION Stock
DETALION GAMES financial ratios help investors to determine whether DETALION Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in DETALION with respect to the benefits of owning DETALION GAMES security.