Abbott Laboratories (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 107.54
| ABL Stock | EUR 108.90 0.28 0.26% |
Abbott |
Abbott Laboratories Target Price Odds to finish below 107.54
The tendency of Abbott Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 107.54 or more in 90 days |
| 108.90 | 90 days | 107.54 | about 56.04 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Abbott Laboratories to drop to € 107.54 or more in 90 days from now is about 56.04 (This Abbott Laboratories probability density function shows the probability of Abbott Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Abbott Laboratories price to stay between € 107.54 and its current price of €108.9 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.29 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Abbott Laboratories has a beta of 0.0677. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Abbott Laboratories average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Abbott Laboratories will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Abbott Laboratories has an alpha of 0.0429, implying that it can generate a 0.0429 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Abbott Laboratories Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Abbott Laboratories
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Abbott Laboratories. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Abbott Laboratories Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Abbott Laboratories is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Abbott Laboratories' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Abbott Laboratories, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Abbott Laboratories within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.55 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Abbott Laboratories Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Abbott Laboratories for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Abbott Laboratories can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 76.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Abbott Laboratories Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Abbott Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Abbott Laboratories' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Abbott Laboratories' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.7 B |
Abbott Laboratories Technical Analysis
Abbott Laboratories' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Abbott Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Abbott Laboratories. In general, you should focus on analyzing Abbott Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Abbott Laboratories Predictive Forecast Models
Abbott Laboratories' time-series forecasting models is one of many Abbott Laboratories' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Abbott Laboratories' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Abbott Laboratories
Checking the ongoing alerts about Abbott Laboratories for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Abbott Laboratories help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Over 76.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Abbott Stock
When determining whether Abbott Laboratories is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Abbott Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Abbott Laboratories Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Abbott Laboratories Stock:Check out Abbott Laboratories Backtesting, Abbott Laboratories Valuation, Abbott Laboratories Correlation, Abbott Laboratories Hype Analysis, Abbott Laboratories Volatility, Abbott Laboratories History as well as Abbott Laboratories Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Abbott Stock please use our How to Invest in Abbott Laboratories guide.You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.