Abr Enhanced Short Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 6.88

ABRJX Fund  USD 8.44  0.03  0.35%   
Abr Enhanced's future price is the expected price of Abr Enhanced instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Abr Enhanced Short performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Abr Enhanced Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Abr Enhanced Correlation, Abr Enhanced Hype Analysis, Abr Enhanced Volatility, Abr Enhanced History as well as Abr Enhanced Performance.
  
Please specify Abr Enhanced's target price for which you would like Abr Enhanced odds to be computed.

Abr Enhanced Target Price Odds to finish below 6.88

The tendency of Abr Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 6.88  or more in 90 days
 8.44 90 days 6.88 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Abr Enhanced to drop to $ 6.88  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Abr Enhanced Short probability density function shows the probability of Abr Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Abr Enhanced Short price to stay between $ 6.88  and its current price of $8.44 at the end of the 90-day period is more than 94.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Abr Enhanced has a beta of 0.0152. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Abr Enhanced average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Abr Enhanced Short will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Abr Enhanced Short has an alpha of 0.1387, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Abr Enhanced Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Abr Enhanced

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Abr Enhanced Short. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.6211.8113.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.528.049.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.978.4910.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.438.498.56
Details

Abr Enhanced Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Abr Enhanced is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Abr Enhanced's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Abr Enhanced Short, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Abr Enhanced within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.26
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Abr Enhanced Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Abr Enhanced for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Abr Enhanced Short can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds about 103.74% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Abr Enhanced Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Abr Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Abr Enhanced's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Abr Enhanced's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Abr Enhanced Technical Analysis

Abr Enhanced's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Abr Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Abr Enhanced Short. In general, you should focus on analyzing Abr Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Abr Enhanced Predictive Forecast Models

Abr Enhanced's time-series forecasting models is one of many Abr Enhanced's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Abr Enhanced's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Abr Enhanced Short

Checking the ongoing alerts about Abr Enhanced for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Abr Enhanced Short help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds about 103.74% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Other Information on Investing in Abr Mutual Fund

Abr Enhanced financial ratios help investors to determine whether Abr Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Abr with respect to the benefits of owning Abr Enhanced security.
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