Atco Stock Chance of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 34.71

ACLTF Stock  USD 34.71  0.49  1.43%   
ATCO's future price is the expected price of ATCO instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ATCO performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out ATCO Backtesting, ATCO Valuation, ATCO Correlation, ATCO Hype Analysis, ATCO Volatility, ATCO History as well as ATCO Performance.
  
Please specify ATCO's target price for which you would like ATCO odds to be computed.

ATCO Target Price Odds to finish below 34.71

The tendency of ATCO Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 34.71 90 days 34.71 
about 53.98
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ATCO to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 53.98 (This ATCO probability density function shows the probability of ATCO Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon ATCO has a beta of -0.0632. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding ATCO are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, ATCO is likely to outperform the market. Additionally ATCO has an alpha of 0.1358, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   ATCO Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ATCO

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ATCO. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ATCO's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
33.0434.7136.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
31.6733.3435.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
32.8034.4736.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
32.3934.8337.27
Details

ATCO Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ATCO is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ATCO's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ATCO, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ATCO within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.06
σ
Overall volatility
1.40
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

ATCO Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ATCO for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ATCO can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 92.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

ATCO Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ATCO Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ATCO's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ATCO's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding114.4 M

ATCO Technical Analysis

ATCO's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ATCO Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ATCO. In general, you should focus on analyzing ATCO Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ATCO Predictive Forecast Models

ATCO's time-series forecasting models is one of many ATCO's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ATCO's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ATCO

Checking the ongoing alerts about ATCO for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ATCO help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 92.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in ATCO Pink Sheet

ATCO financial ratios help investors to determine whether ATCO Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ATCO with respect to the benefits of owning ATCO security.