Accenture Plc (Mexico) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4,794

ACNN Stock  MXN 7,300  87.00  1.21%   
Accenture Plc's future price is the expected price of Accenture Plc instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Accenture plc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Accenture Plc Backtesting, Accenture Plc Valuation, Accenture Plc Correlation, Accenture Plc Hype Analysis, Accenture Plc Volatility, Accenture Plc History as well as Accenture Plc Performance.
For more information on how to buy Accenture Stock please use our How to Invest in Accenture Plc guide.
  
Please specify Accenture Plc's target price for which you would like Accenture Plc odds to be computed.

Accenture Plc Target Price Odds to finish below 4,794

The tendency of Accenture Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 7,300 90 days 7,300 
about 75.24
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Accenture Plc to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 75.24 (This Accenture plc probability density function shows the probability of Accenture Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Accenture plc has a beta of -0.0258. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Accenture Plc are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Accenture plc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Accenture plc has an alpha of 0.1503, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Accenture Plc Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Accenture Plc

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Accenture plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7,2997,3007,301
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6,1806,1818,030
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7,2057,2077,208
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6,5707,2397,908
Details

Accenture Plc Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Accenture Plc is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Accenture Plc's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Accenture plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Accenture Plc within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
269.19
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Accenture Plc Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Accenture Plc for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Accenture plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 75.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Accenture Plc Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Accenture Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Accenture Plc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Accenture Plc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding632.5 M

Accenture Plc Technical Analysis

Accenture Plc's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Accenture Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Accenture plc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Accenture Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Accenture Plc Predictive Forecast Models

Accenture Plc's time-series forecasting models is one of many Accenture Plc's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Accenture Plc's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Accenture plc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Accenture Plc for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Accenture plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 75.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Additional Tools for Accenture Stock Analysis

When running Accenture Plc's price analysis, check to measure Accenture Plc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Accenture Plc is operating at the current time. Most of Accenture Plc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Accenture Plc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Accenture Plc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Accenture Plc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.