Acacia Research Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.48
| ACTG Stock | USD 4.48 0.02 0.44% |
Acacia |
Acacia Research Target Price Odds to finish over 4.48
The tendency of Acacia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 4.48 | 90 days | 4.48 | about 80.13 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Acacia Research to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 80.13 (This Acacia Research probability density function shows the probability of Acacia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.49 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Acacia Research will likely underperform. Additionally Acacia Research has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Acacia Research Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Acacia Research
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Acacia Research. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Acacia Research's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Acacia Research Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Acacia Research is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Acacia Research's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Acacia Research, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Acacia Research within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.49 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.13 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Acacia Research Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Acacia Research for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Acacia Research can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Acacia Research generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Acacia Research is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Acacia Research currently holds about 469.13 M in cash with (22.51 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 12.25, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Acacia Research has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 89.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Global Semiconductor Lasers Market Report 2025-2035, with Coverage of VCSEL, Edge-Emitting Laser and Quantum Cascade Laser Technologies |
Acacia Research Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Acacia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Acacia Research's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Acacia Research's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 92.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 439.9 M |
Acacia Research Technical Analysis
Acacia Research's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Acacia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Acacia Research. In general, you should focus on analyzing Acacia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Acacia Research Predictive Forecast Models
Acacia Research's time-series forecasting models is one of many Acacia Research's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Acacia Research's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Acacia Research
Checking the ongoing alerts about Acacia Research for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Acacia Research help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Acacia Research generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Acacia Research is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Acacia Research currently holds about 469.13 M in cash with (22.51 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 12.25, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Acacia Research has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 89.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Global Semiconductor Lasers Market Report 2025-2035, with Coverage of VCSEL, Edge-Emitting Laser and Quantum Cascade Laser Technologies |
Check out Acacia Research Backtesting, Acacia Research Valuation, Acacia Research Correlation, Acacia Research Hype Analysis, Acacia Research Volatility, Acacia Research History as well as Acacia Research Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Acacia Stock please use our How to Invest in Acacia Research guide.You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Is Research & Consulting Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Acacia Research. If investors know Acacia will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Acacia Research listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.97) | Earnings Share 0.58 | Revenue Per Share 1.659 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.312 | Return On Assets 0.0404 |
The market value of Acacia Research is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Acacia that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Acacia Research's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Acacia Research's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Acacia Research's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Acacia Research's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Acacia Research's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Acacia Research is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Acacia Research's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.