Corporacin Actinver (Mexico) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 16.5
| ACTINVRB | MXN 17.30 0.10 0.57% |
Corporacin |
Corporacin Actinver Target Price Odds to finish over 16.5
The tendency of Corporacin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 16.50 in 90 days |
| 17.30 | 90 days | 16.50 | about 70.07 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Corporacin Actinver to stay above 16.50 in 90 days from now is about 70.07 (This Corporacin Actinver S probability density function shows the probability of Corporacin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Corporacin Actinver price to stay between 16.50 and its current price of 17.3 at the end of the 90-day period is about 64.35 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Corporacin Actinver S has a beta of -0.027. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Corporacin Actinver are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Corporacin Actinver S is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Corporacin Actinver S has an alpha of 0.1053, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Corporacin Actinver Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Corporacin Actinver
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Corporacin Actinver. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Corporacin Actinver Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Corporacin Actinver is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Corporacin Actinver's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Corporacin Actinver S, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Corporacin Actinver within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.38 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Corporacin Actinver Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Corporacin Actinver for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Corporacin Actinver can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Corporacin Actinver has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Corporacin Actinver S has accumulated 654.16 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 742.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Corporacin Actinver has a current ratio of 0.46, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Corporacin Actinver until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Corporacin Actinver's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Corporacin Actinver sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Corporacin to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Corporacin Actinver's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Corporacin Actinver S has accumulated about 4.69 B in cash with (4.49 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 8.47. |
Corporacin Actinver Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Corporacin Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Corporacin Actinver's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Corporacin Actinver's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 534 M |
Corporacin Actinver Technical Analysis
Corporacin Actinver's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Corporacin Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Corporacin Actinver S. In general, you should focus on analyzing Corporacin Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Corporacin Actinver Predictive Forecast Models
Corporacin Actinver's time-series forecasting models is one of many Corporacin Actinver's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Corporacin Actinver's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Corporacin Actinver
Checking the ongoing alerts about Corporacin Actinver for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Corporacin Actinver help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Corporacin Actinver has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Corporacin Actinver S has accumulated 654.16 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 742.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Corporacin Actinver has a current ratio of 0.46, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Corporacin Actinver until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Corporacin Actinver's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Corporacin Actinver sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Corporacin to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Corporacin Actinver's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Corporacin Actinver S has accumulated about 4.69 B in cash with (4.49 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 8.47. |
Additional Tools for Corporacin Stock Analysis
When running Corporacin Actinver's price analysis, check to measure Corporacin Actinver's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Corporacin Actinver is operating at the current time. Most of Corporacin Actinver's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Corporacin Actinver's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Corporacin Actinver's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Corporacin Actinver to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.