Adese Gayrimenkul (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.03
| ADESE Stock | TRY 2.28 0.03 1.33% |
Adese |
Adese Gayrimenkul Target Price Odds to finish over 2.03
The tendency of Adese Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 2.03 in 90 days |
| 2.28 | 90 days | 2.03 | about 42.56 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Adese Gayrimenkul to stay above 2.03 in 90 days from now is about 42.56 (This Adese Gayrimenkul Yatirim probability density function shows the probability of Adese Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Adese Gayrimenkul Yatirim price to stay between 2.03 and its current price of 2.28 at the end of the 90-day period is about 38.56 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Adese Gayrimenkul Yatirim has a beta of -0.21. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Adese Gayrimenkul are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Adese Gayrimenkul Yatirim is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Adese Gayrimenkul Yatirim has an alpha of 0.246, implying that it can generate a 0.25 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Adese Gayrimenkul Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Adese Gayrimenkul
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Adese Gayrimenkul Yatirim. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Adese Gayrimenkul's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Adese Gayrimenkul Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Adese Gayrimenkul is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Adese Gayrimenkul's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Adese Gayrimenkul Yatirim, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Adese Gayrimenkul within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Adese Gayrimenkul Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Adese Gayrimenkul for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Adese Gayrimenkul Yatirim can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Adese Gayrimenkul Yatirim has accumulated 33.65 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.52, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Adese Gayrimenkul Yatirim has a current ratio of 0.44, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Adese Gayrimenkul until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Adese Gayrimenkul's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Adese Gayrimenkul Yatirim sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Adese to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Adese Gayrimenkul's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Adese Gayrimenkul Yatirim has accumulated about 18.16 M in cash with (14.37 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.07. |
Adese Gayrimenkul Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Adese Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Adese Gayrimenkul's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Adese Gayrimenkul's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1 B |
Adese Gayrimenkul Technical Analysis
Adese Gayrimenkul's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Adese Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Adese Gayrimenkul Yatirim. In general, you should focus on analyzing Adese Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Adese Gayrimenkul Predictive Forecast Models
Adese Gayrimenkul's time-series forecasting models is one of many Adese Gayrimenkul's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Adese Gayrimenkul's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Adese Gayrimenkul Yatirim
Checking the ongoing alerts about Adese Gayrimenkul for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Adese Gayrimenkul Yatirim help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Adese Gayrimenkul Yatirim has accumulated 33.65 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.52, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Adese Gayrimenkul Yatirim has a current ratio of 0.44, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Adese Gayrimenkul until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Adese Gayrimenkul's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Adese Gayrimenkul Yatirim sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Adese to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Adese Gayrimenkul's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Adese Gayrimenkul Yatirim has accumulated about 18.16 M in cash with (14.37 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.07. |
Other Information on Investing in Adese Stock
Adese Gayrimenkul financial ratios help investors to determine whether Adese Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Adese with respect to the benefits of owning Adese Gayrimenkul security.