Australian Dairy (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.014
| AHF Stock | 0.07 0.01 11.67% |
Australian |
Australian Dairy Target Price Odds to finish below 0.014
The tendency of Australian Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 0.01 or more in 90 days |
| 0.07 | 90 days | 0.01 | about 11.38 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Australian Dairy to drop to 0.01 or more in 90 days from now is about 11.38 (This Australian Dairy Farms probability density function shows the probability of Australian Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Australian Dairy Farms price to stay between 0.01 and its current price of 0.067 at the end of the 90-day period is about 88.43 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Australian Dairy has a beta of 0.47. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Australian Dairy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Australian Dairy Farms will be expected to be much smaller as well. In addition to that Australian Dairy Farms has an alpha of 2.2402, implying that it can generate a 2.24 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Australian Dairy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Australian Dairy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Australian Dairy Farms. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Australian Dairy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Australian Dairy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Australian Dairy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Australian Dairy Farms, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Australian Dairy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 2.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.47 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.30 |
Australian Dairy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Australian Dairy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Australian Dairy Farms can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Australian Dairy is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Australian Dairy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Australian Dairy appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 6.18 M. Net Loss for the year was (7.36 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (288.23 K). | |
| Australian Dairy generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 42.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Australian Dairy Nutritionals Sees Market Interest Surge - MSN |
Australian Dairy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Australian Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Australian Dairy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Australian Dairy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 650.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.1 M |
Australian Dairy Technical Analysis
Australian Dairy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Australian Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Australian Dairy Farms. In general, you should focus on analyzing Australian Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Australian Dairy Predictive Forecast Models
Australian Dairy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Australian Dairy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Australian Dairy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Australian Dairy Farms
Checking the ongoing alerts about Australian Dairy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Australian Dairy Farms help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Australian Dairy is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Australian Dairy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Australian Dairy appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 6.18 M. Net Loss for the year was (7.36 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (288.23 K). | |
| Australian Dairy generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 42.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Australian Dairy Nutritionals Sees Market Interest Surge - MSN |
Additional Tools for Australian Stock Analysis
When running Australian Dairy's price analysis, check to measure Australian Dairy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Australian Dairy is operating at the current time. Most of Australian Dairy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Australian Dairy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Australian Dairy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Australian Dairy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.