Amadeus IT (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 59.80
| AI3A Stock | EUR 66.38 0.28 0.42% |
Amadeus |
Amadeus IT Target Price Odds to finish below 59.80
The tendency of Amadeus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 59.80 or more in 90 days |
| 66.38 | 90 days | 59.80 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Amadeus IT to drop to € 59.80 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Amadeus IT Group probability density function shows the probability of Amadeus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Amadeus IT Group price to stay between € 59.80 and its current price of €66.38 at the end of the 90-day period is about 39.16 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Amadeus IT has a beta of 0.15. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Amadeus IT average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Amadeus IT Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Amadeus IT Group has an alpha of 0.018, implying that it can generate a 0.018 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Amadeus IT Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Amadeus IT
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amadeus IT Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Amadeus IT Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Amadeus IT is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Amadeus IT's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Amadeus IT Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Amadeus IT within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.42 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0009 |
Amadeus IT Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Amadeus IT for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Amadeus IT Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Amadeus IT Group has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the revenue of 2.67 B. Net Loss for the year was (142.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.87 B. | |
| About 70.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Amadeus IT Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Amadeus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Amadeus IT's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Amadeus IT's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 449.9 M |
Amadeus IT Technical Analysis
Amadeus IT's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Amadeus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Amadeus IT Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Amadeus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Amadeus IT Predictive Forecast Models
Amadeus IT's time-series forecasting models is one of many Amadeus IT's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Amadeus IT's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Amadeus IT Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Amadeus IT for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Amadeus IT Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Amadeus IT Group has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the revenue of 2.67 B. Net Loss for the year was (142.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.87 B. | |
| About 70.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Other Information on Investing in Amadeus Stock
Amadeus IT financial ratios help investors to determine whether Amadeus Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Amadeus with respect to the benefits of owning Amadeus IT security.