Axilion Smart (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 64.22
| AILN Stock | ILA 48.20 2.30 4.55% |
Axilion |
Axilion Smart Target Price Odds to finish below 64.22
The tendency of Axilion Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 64.22 after 90 days |
| 48.20 | 90 days | 64.22 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Axilion Smart to stay under 64.22 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Axilion Smart Mobility probability density function shows the probability of Axilion Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Axilion Smart Mobility price to stay between its current price of 48.20 and 64.22 at the end of the 90-day period is about 28.98 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.58 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Axilion Smart will likely underperform. Additionally Axilion Smart Mobility has an alpha of 0.234, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Axilion Smart Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Axilion Smart
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Axilion Smart Mobility. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Axilion Smart Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Axilion Smart is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Axilion Smart's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Axilion Smart Mobility, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Axilion Smart within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.58 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.90 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Axilion Smart Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Axilion Smart for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Axilion Smart Mobility can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Axilion Smart had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Axilion Smart Mobility has accumulated 755 K in total debt. Axilion Smart Mobility has a current ratio of 0.01, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Axilion Smart until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Axilion Smart's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Axilion Smart Mobility sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Axilion to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Axilion Smart's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 2.14 M. Net Loss for the year was (30.24 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.14 M. | |
| Axilion Smart Mobility has accumulated about 32 K in cash with (24.55 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 42.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Axilion Smart Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Axilion Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Axilion Smart's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Axilion Smart's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 29.1 M |
Axilion Smart Technical Analysis
Axilion Smart's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Axilion Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Axilion Smart Mobility. In general, you should focus on analyzing Axilion Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Axilion Smart Predictive Forecast Models
Axilion Smart's time-series forecasting models is one of many Axilion Smart's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Axilion Smart's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Axilion Smart Mobility
Checking the ongoing alerts about Axilion Smart for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Axilion Smart Mobility help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Axilion Smart had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Axilion Smart Mobility has accumulated 755 K in total debt. Axilion Smart Mobility has a current ratio of 0.01, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Axilion Smart until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Axilion Smart's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Axilion Smart Mobility sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Axilion to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Axilion Smart's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 2.14 M. Net Loss for the year was (30.24 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.14 M. | |
| Axilion Smart Mobility has accumulated about 32 K in cash with (24.55 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 42.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Axilion Stock
Axilion Smart financial ratios help investors to determine whether Axilion Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Axilion with respect to the benefits of owning Axilion Smart security.