FKS Food (Indonesia) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 131.16
| AISA Stock | IDR 107.00 3.00 2.88% |
FKS |
FKS Food Target Price Odds to finish below 131.16
The tendency of FKS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 131.16 after 90 days |
| 107.00 | 90 days | 131.16 | about 77.94 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FKS Food to stay under 131.16 after 90 days from now is about 77.94 (This FKS Food Sejahtera probability density function shows the probability of FKS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FKS Food Sejahtera price to stay between its current price of 107.00 and 131.16 at the end of the 90-day period is about 77.38 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon FKS Food has a beta of 0.22. This suggests as returns on the market go up, FKS Food average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding FKS Food Sejahtera will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally FKS Food Sejahtera has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. FKS Food Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for FKS Food
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FKS Food Sejahtera. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.FKS Food Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FKS Food is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FKS Food's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FKS Food Sejahtera, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FKS Food within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.29 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.49 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.22 |
FKS Food Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FKS Food for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FKS Food Sejahtera can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| FKS Food Sejahtera generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| FKS Food Sejahtera has accumulated 108.32 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.32, which is about average as compared to similar companies. FKS Food Sejahtera has a current ratio of 0.78, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist FKS Food until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, FKS Food's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like FKS Food Sejahtera sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for FKS to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about FKS Food's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| FKS Food Sejahtera has accumulated about 154.48 B in cash with (84.86 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 16.59. | |
| Roughly 64.0% of FKS Food shares are held by company insiders |
FKS Food Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FKS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FKS Food's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FKS Food's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.8 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 58.6 B |
FKS Food Technical Analysis
FKS Food's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FKS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FKS Food Sejahtera. In general, you should focus on analyzing FKS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
FKS Food Predictive Forecast Models
FKS Food's time-series forecasting models is one of many FKS Food's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FKS Food's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about FKS Food Sejahtera
Checking the ongoing alerts about FKS Food for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FKS Food Sejahtera help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| FKS Food Sejahtera generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| FKS Food Sejahtera has accumulated 108.32 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.32, which is about average as compared to similar companies. FKS Food Sejahtera has a current ratio of 0.78, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist FKS Food until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, FKS Food's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like FKS Food Sejahtera sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for FKS to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about FKS Food's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| FKS Food Sejahtera has accumulated about 154.48 B in cash with (84.86 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 16.59. | |
| Roughly 64.0% of FKS Food shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in FKS Stock
FKS Food financial ratios help investors to determine whether FKS Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in FKS with respect to the benefits of owning FKS Food security.