Angling Direct (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 35.5

ANG Stock   35.50  0.00  0.00%   
Angling Direct's future price is the expected price of Angling Direct instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Angling Direct PLC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Angling Direct Backtesting, Angling Direct Valuation, Angling Direct Correlation, Angling Direct Hype Analysis, Angling Direct Volatility, Angling Direct History as well as Angling Direct Performance.
  
Please specify Angling Direct's target price for which you would like Angling Direct odds to be computed.

Angling Direct Target Price Odds to finish below 35.5

The tendency of Angling Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 35.50 90 days 35.50 
about 17.97
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Angling Direct to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 17.97 (This Angling Direct PLC probability density function shows the probability of Angling Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Angling Direct PLC has a beta of -0.0035. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Angling Direct are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Angling Direct PLC is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Angling Direct PLC has an alpha of 0.0047, implying that it can generate a 0.00468 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Angling Direct Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Angling Direct

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Angling Direct PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
33.8035.5037.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
34.3036.0037.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
32.8934.5936.29
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Angling Direct Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Angling Direct is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Angling Direct's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Angling Direct PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Angling Direct within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0035
σ
Overall volatility
0.96
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Angling Direct Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Angling Direct for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Angling Direct PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Angling Direct PLC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 72.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Angling Direct Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Angling Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Angling Direct's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Angling Direct's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding77.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments15.8 M

Angling Direct Technical Analysis

Angling Direct's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Angling Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Angling Direct PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Angling Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Angling Direct Predictive Forecast Models

Angling Direct's time-series forecasting models is one of many Angling Direct's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Angling Direct's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Angling Direct PLC

Checking the ongoing alerts about Angling Direct for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Angling Direct PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Angling Direct PLC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 72.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Other Information on Investing in Angling Stock

Angling Direct financial ratios help investors to determine whether Angling Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Angling with respect to the benefits of owning Angling Direct security.