Amotiv Limited Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.16

AOV Stock   5.19  0.03  0.58%   
Amotiv's future price is the expected price of Amotiv instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Amotiv Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Amotiv Backtesting, Amotiv Valuation, Amotiv Correlation, Amotiv Hype Analysis, Amotiv Volatility, Amotiv History as well as Amotiv Performance.
  
Please specify Amotiv's target price for which you would like Amotiv odds to be computed.

Amotiv Target Price Odds to finish over 5.16

The tendency of Amotiv Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  5.16  in 90 days
 5.19 90 days 5.16 
about 89.44
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Amotiv to stay above  5.16  in 90 days from now is about 89.44 (This Amotiv Limited probability density function shows the probability of Amotiv Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Amotiv Limited price to stay between  5.16  and its current price of 5.19 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.09 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Amotiv Limited has a beta of -1.11. This suggests Additionally Amotiv Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Amotiv Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Amotiv

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amotiv Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.355.207.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.664.516.36
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.00750.010.04
Details

Amotiv Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Amotiv is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Amotiv's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Amotiv Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Amotiv within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.11
σ
Overall volatility
0.28
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Amotiv Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Amotiv for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Amotiv Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Amotiv Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 328.2 M. Net Loss for the year was (16.84 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 138.06 M.
About 45.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: AMOTIV Limited Issues New Performance Rights - TipRanks

Amotiv Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Amotiv Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Amotiv's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Amotiv's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding101.2 M

Amotiv Technical Analysis

Amotiv's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Amotiv Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Amotiv Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Amotiv Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Amotiv Predictive Forecast Models

Amotiv's time-series forecasting models is one of many Amotiv's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Amotiv's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Amotiv Limited

Checking the ongoing alerts about Amotiv for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Amotiv Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Amotiv Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 328.2 M. Net Loss for the year was (16.84 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 138.06 M.
About 45.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: AMOTIV Limited Issues New Performance Rights - TipRanks

Other Information on Investing in Amotiv Stock

Amotiv financial ratios help investors to determine whether Amotiv Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Amotiv with respect to the benefits of owning Amotiv security.