Abrdn Property (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 62.49
| API Stock | 6.55 0.05 0.76% |
Abrdn |
Abrdn Property Target Price Odds to finish over 62.49
The tendency of Abrdn Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 62.49 or more in 90 days |
| 6.55 | 90 days | 62.49 | about 31.77 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Abrdn Property to move over 62.49 or more in 90 days from now is about 31.77 (This abrdn Property Income probability density function shows the probability of Abrdn Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of abrdn Property Income price to stay between its current price of 6.55 and 62.49 at the end of the 90-day period is about 68.14 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.49 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Abrdn Property will likely underperform. Additionally Abrdn Property Income has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Abrdn Property Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Abrdn Property
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as abrdn Property Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Abrdn Property Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Abrdn Property is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Abrdn Property's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold abrdn Property Income, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Abrdn Property within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.67 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.49 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 15.25 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Abrdn Property Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Abrdn Property for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for abrdn Property Income can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Abrdn Property generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Abrdn Property has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Abrdn Property has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 32.44 M. Net Loss for the year was (8.27 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 18.96 M. | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 29th of November 2024 Abrdn Property paid 0.01 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: abrdn Property Income Trust Announces Shareholder Distribution - TipRanks |
Abrdn Property Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Abrdn Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Abrdn Property's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Abrdn Property's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 381.2 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 15.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.7 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.06 |
Abrdn Property Technical Analysis
Abrdn Property's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Abrdn Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of abrdn Property Income. In general, you should focus on analyzing Abrdn Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Abrdn Property Predictive Forecast Models
Abrdn Property's time-series forecasting models is one of many Abrdn Property's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Abrdn Property's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about abrdn Property Income
Checking the ongoing alerts about Abrdn Property for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for abrdn Property Income help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Abrdn Property generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Abrdn Property has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Abrdn Property has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 32.44 M. Net Loss for the year was (8.27 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 18.96 M. | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 29th of November 2024 Abrdn Property paid 0.01 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: abrdn Property Income Trust Announces Shareholder Distribution - TipRanks |
Other Information on Investing in Abrdn Stock
Abrdn Property financial ratios help investors to determine whether Abrdn Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Abrdn with respect to the benefits of owning Abrdn Property security.