Wilmington Intermediate Term Bond Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 11.67

ARIFX Fund  USD 11.23  0.01  0.09%   
Wilmington Intermediate's future price is the expected price of Wilmington Intermediate instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Wilmington Intermediate Term Bond performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Wilmington Intermediate Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Wilmington Intermediate Correlation, Wilmington Intermediate Hype Analysis, Wilmington Intermediate Volatility, Wilmington Intermediate History as well as Wilmington Intermediate Performance.
  
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Wilmington Intermediate Target Price Odds to finish below 11.67

The tendency of Wilmington Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 11.67  after 90 days
 11.23 90 days 11.67 
about 44.27
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wilmington Intermediate to stay under $ 11.67  after 90 days from now is about 44.27 (This Wilmington Intermediate Term Bond probability density function shows the probability of Wilmington Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wilmington Intermediate price to stay between its current price of $ 11.23  and $ 11.67  at the end of the 90-day period is about 42.75 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Wilmington Intermediate has a beta of 0.35. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Wilmington Intermediate average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Wilmington Intermediate Term Bond will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Wilmington Intermediate Term Bond has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Wilmington Intermediate Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Wilmington Intermediate

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wilmington Intermediate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.4711.2412.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.6011.3712.14
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Wilmington Intermediate. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Wilmington Intermediate's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Wilmington Intermediate's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Wilmington Intermediate.

Wilmington Intermediate Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wilmington Intermediate is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wilmington Intermediate's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wilmington Intermediate Term Bond, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wilmington Intermediate within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.35
σ
Overall volatility
0.23
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Wilmington Intermediate Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wilmington Intermediate for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wilmington Intermediate can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wilmington Intermediate generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund holds about 6.41% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Wilmington Intermediate Technical Analysis

Wilmington Intermediate's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wilmington Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wilmington Intermediate Term Bond. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wilmington Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Wilmington Intermediate Predictive Forecast Models

Wilmington Intermediate's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wilmington Intermediate's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wilmington Intermediate's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Wilmington Intermediate

Checking the ongoing alerts about Wilmington Intermediate for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wilmington Intermediate help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wilmington Intermediate generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund holds about 6.41% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Other Information on Investing in Wilmington Mutual Fund

Wilmington Intermediate financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wilmington Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wilmington with respect to the benefits of owning Wilmington Intermediate security.
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